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Stochastic model-predictive control (SMPC) has evolved to a powerful framework for the control of stochastic dynamical systems. SMPC utilizes a probabilistic uncertainty description to provide a systematic trade-off between the control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-27 Bendegúz Györök , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens , Tamás Péni

An issue for molecular dynamics simulations is that events of interest often involve timescales that are much longer than the simulation time step, which is set by the fastest timescales of the model. Because of this timescale separation,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-15 John Strahan , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat

Many Monte Carlo (MC) and importance sampling (IS) methods use mixture models (MMs) for their simplicity and ability to capture multimodal distributions. Recently, subtractive mixture models (SMMs), i.e. MMs with negative coefficients, have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Lena Zellinger , Nicola Branchini , Víctor Elvira , Antonio Vergari

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

This paper describes an algorithm for fitting finite mixtures of unrestricted Multivariate Skew t (FM-uMST) distributions. The package EMMIX-uskew implements a closed-form expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for computing the maximum…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-29 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) is a general approach to Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, but can be estimated unbiasedly. Our article develops an efficient PMMH method that scales up better to higher…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-10 David Gunawan , Pratiti Chatterjee , Robert Kohn

We consider Particle Gibbs (PG) as a tool for Bayesian analysis of non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. PG is a Monte Carlo (MC) approximation of the standard Gibbs procedure which uses sequential MC (SMC) importance sampling inside…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-18 Oliver Grothe , Tore Selland Kleppe , Roman Liesenfeld

Most current sampling algorithms for high-dimensional distributions are based on MCMC techniques and are approximate in the sense that they are valid only asymptotically. Rejection sampling, on the other hand, produces valid samples, but is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-04 Marc Dymetman , Guillaume Bouchard , Simon Carter

In this paper, we study the problem of learning one-dimensional Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with a specific focus on estimating both the model order and the mixing distribution from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Xinyu Liu , Hai Zhang

Universal domain adaptation aims to align the classes and reduce the feature gap between the same category of the source and target domains. The target private category is set as the unknown class during the adaptation process, as it is not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Yuxiang Lai , Yi Zhou , Xinghong Liu , Tao Zhou

Mixtures of Unigrams are one of the simplest and most efficient tools for clustering textual data, as they assume that documents related to the same topic have similar distributions of terms, naturally described by Multinomials. When the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Cinzia Viroli , Laura Anderlucci

While uniform sampling has been widely studied in the matrix completion literature, CUR sampling approximates a low-rank matrix via row and column samples. Unfortunately, both sampling models lack flexibility for various circumstances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 HanQin Cai , Longxiu Huang , Pengyu Li , Deanna Needell

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Many processes in chemistry and physics take place on timescales that cannot be explored using standard molecular dynamics simulations. This renders the use of enhanced sampling mandatory. Here we introduce an enhanced sampling method that…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-06-12 Jayashrita Debnath , Michele Parrinello

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers are powerful tools for Bayesian inference but suffer from high computational costs due to their reliance on large particle ensembles for accurate estimates. We introduce persistent sampling (PS), an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-24 Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

The curse of dimensionality presents a pervasive challenge in optimization problems, with exponential expansion of the search space rapidly causing traditional algorithms to become inefficient or infeasible. An adaptive sampling strategy is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Julian Soltes

We extend our study of Motion Planning via Manifold Samples (MMS), a general algorithmic framework that combines geometric methods for the exact and complete analysis of low-dimensional configuration spaces with sampling-based approaches…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-09-17 Oren Salzman , Michael Hemmer , Dan Halperin

The stochastic volatility model is a popular tool for modeling the volatility of assets. The model is a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space model, and consequently is difficult to fit. Many approaches, both classical and Bayesian, have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Chen Gong , David S. Stoffer

The particle Gibbs sampler is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the full posterior distribution of a state-space model. It does so by executing Gibbs sampling steps on an extended target distribution defined on the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-29 Nicolas Chopin , Sumeetpal S. Singh