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Spline basis exploration via Bayesian model selection is a widely employed strategy for determining the optimal set of basis terms in nonparametric regression. However, despite its widespread use, this approach often encounters performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-09 Sunwoo Lim , Sihyeon Pyeon , Seonghyun Jeong

Materials design can be cast as an optimization problem with the goal of achieving desired properties, by varying material composition, microstructure morphology, and processing conditions. Existence of both qualitative and quantitative…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-07-08 Akshay Iyer , Yichi Zhang , Aditya Prasad , Siyu Tao , Yixing Wang , Linda Schadler , L Catherine Brinson , Wei Chen

Bayesian meta-learning enables robust and fast adaptation to new tasks with uncertainty assessment. The key idea behind Bayesian meta-learning is empirical Bayes inference of hierarchical model. In this work, we extend this framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Yayi Zou , Xiaoqi Lu

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino

We present an efficient method for computing A-optimal experimental designs for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Specifically, we address the problem of optimizing the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-29 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

The design of informatively rich input signals is essential for accurate system identification, yet classical Fisher-information-based methods are inherently local and often inadequate in the presence of significant model uncertainty and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Piotr Bania , Anna Wójcik

We study random designs that minimize the asymptotic variance of a de-biased lasso estimator when a large pool of unlabeled data is available but measuring the corresponding responses is costly. The optimal sampling distribution arises as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Hamid Eftekhari , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Marion Naveau , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Renaud Rincent , Laure Sansonnet , Maud Delattre

Accelerated discovery in materials science demands autonomous systems capable of dynamically formulating and solving design problems. In this work, we introduce a novel framework that leverages Bayesian optimization over a problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-11 Danial Khatamsaz , Joseph Wagner , Brent Vela , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

Experimental design is a classical statistics problem and its aim is to estimate an unknown $m$-dimensional vector $\beta$ from linear measurements where a Gaussian noise is introduced in each measurement. For the combinatorial experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Mohit Singh , Weijun Xie

In this study, variable acceptance sampling plans under Type I hybrid censoring is designed for a lot of independent and identical units with exponential lifetimes using Bayesian estimate of the parameter $\vartheta$. This approach is new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Ashlyn Maria Mathai , Mahesh Kumar

The challenge of optimal design of experiments (DOE) pervades materials science, physics, chemistry, and biology. Bayesian optimization has been used to address this challenge in vast sample spaces, although it requires framing experimental…

For non-randomized studies, the regression discontinuity design (RDD) can be used to identify and estimate causal effects from a "locally-randomized" subgroup of subjects, under relatively mild conditions. However, current models focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-12 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Adjustable hyperparameters of machine learning models typically impact various key trade-offs such as accuracy, fairness, robustness, or inference cost. Our goal in this paper is to find a configuration that adheres to user-specified limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Bracha Laufer-Goldshtein , Adam Fisch , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Achieving covariate balance in randomized experiments enhances the precision of treatment effect estimation. However, existing methods often require heuristic adjustments based on domain knowledge and are primarily developed for binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Wenxuan Guo , Tengyuan Liang , Panos Toulis

An initial screening experiment may lead to ambiguous conclusions regarding the factors which are active in explaining the variation of an outcome variable: thus adding follow-up runs becomes necessary. We propose a fully Bayes objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Guido Consonni , Laura Deldossi

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

Our Bayesian approach to Mendelian Randomisation uses multiple instruments to assess the putative causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. The approach is robust to violations of the (untestable) Exclusion Restriction condition, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Carlo Berzuini , Hui Guo , Stephen Burgess , Luisa Bernardinelli