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Discrete-time stochastic optimal control remains a challenging problem for general, nonlinear systems under significant uncertainty, with practical solvers typically relying on the certainty equivalence assumption, replanning and/or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-12 Joe Watson , Jan Peters

Control of nonlinear uncertain systems is a common challenge in the robotics field. Nonlinear latent force models, which incorporate latent uncertainty characterized as Gaussian processes, carry the promise of representing such systems…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Thomas Woodruff , Iman Askari , Guanghui Wang , Huazhen Fang

We consider robust covariance estimation with group symmetry constraints. Non-Gaussian covariance estimation, e.g., Tyler scatter estimator and Multivariate Generalized Gaussian distribution methods, usually involve non-convex minimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-19 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

In this work, we propose to efficiently solve time dependent parametrized optimal control problems governed by parabolic partial differential equations through the certified reduced basis method. In particular, we will exploit an error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-10 Maria Strazzullo , Francesco Ballarin , Gianluigi Rozza

The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to determine risk prediction bounds on the level of contamination,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-30 Géraud Blatman , Thibault Delage , Bertrand Iooss , Nadia Pérot

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

In this work, we consider the problem of steering the first two moments of the uncertain state of an unknown discrete-time stochastic nonlinear system to a given terminal distribution in finite time. Toward that goal, first, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Alexandros Tsolovikos , Efstathios Bakolas

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We consider the covariance steering problem for nonlinear control-affine systems. Our objective is to find an optimal control strategy to steer the state of a system from an initial distribution to a target one whose mean and covariance are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Hongzhe Yu , Zhenyang Chen , Yongxin Chen

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

In this paper, we consider the problem of using a robot to explore an environment with an unknown, state-dependent disturbance function while avoiding some forbidden areas. The goal of the robot is to safely collect observations of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Dawei Sun , Mohammad Javad Khojasteh , Shubhanshu Shekhar , Chuchu Fan

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is one of the few control methods that can handle multivariable nonlinear controlsystems with constraints. Gaussian processes (GPs) present a powerful tool to identify the required plant model and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 E. Bradford , L. Imsland , D. Zhang , E. A. del Rio-Chanona

Modern aerospace guidance systems demand rigorous constraint satisfaction, optimal performance, and computational efficiency. Traditional analytical methods struggle to simultaneously satisfy these requirements. While data driven methods…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Han Wang , Donghe Chen , Tengjie Zheng , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong

We compute probabilistic controlled invariant sets for nonlinear systems using Gaussian process state space models, which are data-driven models that account for unmodeled and unknown nonlinear dynamics. We propose a semidefinite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Paul Griffioen , Bingzhuo Zhong , Murat Arcak , Majid Zamani , Marco Caccamo

Accurate trajectory prediction is critical for safe autonomous navigation in crowded environments. While many trajectory predictors output Gaussian distributions to represent the multi-modal distribution over future pedestrian positions,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Fatemeh Cheraghi Pouria , Mahsa Golchoubian , Katherine Driggs-Campbell

We propose methodology for statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters of sparse precision matrices in a high-dimensional setting. Our method leads to a non-sparse estimator of the precision matrix whose entries have a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Safety is a critical concern for the success of urban air mobility, especially in dynamic and uncertain environments. This paper proposes a path planning algorithm based on RRT in conjunction with chance constraints in the presence of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Pengcheng Wu , Lin Li , Junfei Xie , Jun Chen

Recent low-thrust space missions have highlighted the importance of designing trajectories that are robust against uncertainties. In its complete form, this process is formulated as a nonlinear constrained stochastic optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Naoya Ozaki , Stefano Campagnola , Ryu Funase

This paper studies the problem of developing computationally efficient solutions for steering the distribution of the state of a stochastic, linear dynamical system between two boundary Gaussian distributions in the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras