Related papers: On Sharpest Tail Bounds for Functions of Tail Boun…
Despite the ubiquitous use of stochastic optimization algorithms in machine learning, the precise impact of these algorithms and their dynamics on generalization performance in realistic non-convex settings is still poorly understood. While…
Let $F$ be a class of functions on a probability space $(\Omega,\mu)$ and let $X_1,...,X_k$ be independent random variables distributed according to $\mu$. We establish high probability tail estimates of the form $\sup_{f \in F} |\{i :…
We modify Talagrand's generic chaining method to obtain upper bounds for all p-th moments of the supremum of a stochastic process. These bounds lead to an estimate for the upper tail of the supremum with optimal deviation parameters. We…
Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…
We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…
We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.
The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…
Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…
In this paper the following result, which allows one to decouple U-Statistics in tail probability, is proved in full generality. Theorem 1. Let $X_i$ be a sequence of independent random variables taking values in a measure space $S$, and…
Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…
We study the extent of independence needed to approximate the product of bounded random variables in expectation, a natural question that has applications in pseudorandomness and min-wise independent hashing. For random variables whose…
We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…
In recent years, tensors have been applied to different applications in science and engineering fields. In order to establish theory about tail bounds of the tensors summation behavior, this work extends previous work by considering the…
Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…
Let $(X_n:n\geq 0)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. r.v.'s with negative mean. Set $S_0=0$ and define $S_n=X_1+... +X_n$. We propose an importance sampling algorithm to estimate the tail of $M=\max \{S_n:n\geq 0\}$ that is strongly efficient for…
We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…
We give upper and lower asymptotic bounds for the left tail and for the right tail of the continuous limiting QuickSort density f that are nearly matching in each tail. The bounds strengthen results from a paper of Svante Janson (2015)…
The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…
We consider a stationary regularly varying time series which can be expressedas a function of a geometrically ergodic Markov chain. We obtain practical conditionsfor the weak convergence of the tail array sums and feasible estimators…
A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…