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Spherically embedded spatial data are spatially indexed observations whose values naturally reside on or can be equivalently mapped to the unit sphere. Such data are increasingly ubiquitous in fields ranging from geochemistry to demography.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Jiazhen Xu , Han Lin Shang

We introduce a new class of autoregressive models for spherical time series, where the dimension of the spheres on which the observations of the time series are situated may be finite-dimensional or infinite-dimensional as in the case of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Changbo Zhu , Hans-Georg Müller

Time-delay embedding is a fundamental technique in Topological Data Analysis (TDA) for reconstructing the phase space dynamics of time-series data. Persistent homology effectively identifies global topological features, such as loops…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Donghyun Park , Junhyun An , Taehyoung Kim , Jisu Kim

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Mingyuan Xia , Chunxu Zhang , Zijian Zhang , Hao Miao , Qidong Liu , Yuanshao Zhu , Bo Yang

We introduce a general framework for leveraging graph stream data for temporal prediction-based applications. Our proposed framework includes novel methods for learning an appropriate graph time-series representation, modeling and weighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Di Jin , Sungchul Kim , Ryan A. Rossi , Danai Koutra

Time-periodic form or expression is a ubiquitous natural and man-made phenomenon observable in all the scientific and engineering disciplines. In this article, we propose a theory of periodic sequence (TPS), which can be formulated as a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-16 Ben You , Ke Wu

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

In this paper we employ methods from Statistical Mechanics to model temporal correlations in time series. We put forward a methodology based on the Maximum Entropy principle to generate ensembles of time series constrained to preserve part…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-15 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

In this article we expand and develop the authors' recent proposed methodology for efficient stochastic superparameterization (SP) algorithms for geophysical turbulence. Geophysical turbulence is characterized by significant intermittent…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-10-08 Ian Grooms , Andrew J Majda

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

There exists a correlation between geospatial activity temporal patterns and type of land use. A novel self-supervised approach is proposed to stratify landscape based on mobility activity time series. First, the time series signal is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Yi Cao , Swetava Ganguli , Vipul Pandey

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

A time-delay embedding (TDE), grounded in the framework of Takens's Theorem, provides a mechanism to represent and analyze the inherent dynamics of time-series data. Recently, topological data analysis (TDA) methods have been applied to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sixtus Dakurah , Jessi Cisewski-Kehe

Time series generation focuses on modeling the underlying data distribution and resampling to produce authentic time series data. Key components, such as trend and seasonality, drive temporal fluctuations, yet many existing approaches fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Zixuan Ma , Chenfeng Huang

Time-varying non-Euclidean random objects are playing a growing role in modern data analysis, and periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time-varying data. However, quantifying periodicity in general non-Euclidean random objects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Emilio Porcu , Philip A. White , Marc G. Genton

We describe an efficient and scalable spherical graph embedding method. The method uses a generalization of the Euclidean stress function for Multi-Dimensional Scaling adapted to spherical space, where geodesic pairwise distances are…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Jacob Miller , Vahan Huroyan , Stephen Kobourov

In various scientific and engineering fields, the primary research areas have revolved around physics-based dynamical systems modeling and data-driven time series analysis. According to the embedding theory, dynamical systems and time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Jiaxi Hu , Bowen Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Fugee Tsung , Yuxuan Liang

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness
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