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We consider the problem of designing optimal level-$\alpha$ power-one tests for composite nulls. Given a parameter $\alpha \in (0,1)$ and a stream of $\mathcal{X}$-valued observations $\{X_n: n \geq 1\} \overset{i.i.d.}{\sim} P$, the goal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Shubhanshu Shekhar

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a discrete-time stochastic process with a distribution $P_\theta$, $\theta\in\Theta$, where $\Theta$ is an open subset of the real line. We consider the problem of testing a simple hypothesis $H_0:$ $\theta=\theta_0$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-23 Andrey Novikov , Petr Novikov

A Partial Conjunction Hypothesis (PCH) test combines information across a set of base hypotheses to determine whether some subset is non-null. PCH tests arise in a diverse array of fields, but standard PCH testing methods can be highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Biyonka Liang , Lu Zhang , Lucas Janson

We prove two lower bounds for stopping times of sequential tests between general composite nulls and alternatives. The first lower bound is for the setting where the type-1 error level $\alpha$ approaches zero, and equals $\log(1/\alpha)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We develop e-values and e-processes testing the null hypothesis that a distribution over nonnegative integers is monotone, and that a distribution over integers is unimodal given a certain mode. Our e-processes lead to tests of power one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the problem of constructing sequential power-one tests where the null and alternative classes are specified indirectly through historical or offline data. More specifically, given an offline dataset consisting of observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Chia-Yu Hsu , Shubhanshu Shekhar

We introduce a simple tool to control for false discoveries and identify individual signals in scenarios involving many tests, dependent test statistics, and potentially sparse signals. The tool applies the Cauchy combination test…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-02 Nabil Bouamara , Sébastien Laurent , Shuping Shi

How can we monitor, in real time, whether one uncertain prospect has any upside over another? To answer this question, we develop a novel family of sequential, anytime-valid tests for stochastic dominance (SD; also known as stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sebastian Arnold , Yo Joong Choe , Marco Scarsini , Ilia Tsetlin

We investigate the power of weak measurements in the framework of quantum state discrimination. First, we define and analyze the notion of weak consecutive measurements. Our main result is a convergence theorem whereby we demonstrate when…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-23 Boaz Tamir , Eliahu Cohen , Avner Priel

Let $X_1,X_2,..., X_n,...$ be a stochastic process with independent values whose distribution $P_\theta$ depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$, $\theta\in\Theta$, where $\Theta$ is an open subset of the real line. The problem of testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-27 Andrey Novikov , Petr Novikov

Robust tests of general composite hypothesis under non-identically distributed observations is always a challenge. Ghosh and Basu (2018, Statistica Sinica, 28, 1133--1155) have proposed a new class of test statistics for such problems based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

$P$-values that are derived from continuously distributed test statistics are typically uniformly distributed on $(0,1)$ under least favorable parameter configurations (LFCs) in the null hypothesis. Conservativeness of a $p$-value $P$…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Daniel Ochieng , Anh-Tuan Hoang , Thorsten Dickhaus

In this paper, we derive power guarantees of some sequential tests for bounded mean under general alternatives. We focus on testing procedures using nonnegative supermartingales which are anytime valid and consider alternatives which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Amaury Durand , Olivier Wintenberger

We consider the sequential composite binary hypothesis testing problem in which one of the hypotheses is governed by a single distribution while the other is governed by a family of distributions whose parameters belong to a known set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Jiachun Pan , Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

Power series distributions form a useful subclass of one-parameter discrete exponential families suitable for modeling count data. A zero-inflated power series distribution is a mixture of a power series distribution and a degenerate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Archan Bhattacharya , Bertrand S. Clarke , Gauri S. Datta

On observing a sequence of i.i.d.\ data with distribution $P$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we ask the question of how one can test the null hypothesis that $P$ has a log-concave density. This paper proves one interesting negative and positive result:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Aditya Gangrade , Alessandro Rinaldo , Aaditya Ramdas

In the binary hypothesis testing problem, it is well known that sequentiality in taking samples eradicates the trade-off between two error exponents, yet implementing the optimal test requires the knowledge of the underlying distributions,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ching-Fang Li , I-Hsiang Wang

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing in the situation where the first hypothesis is simple and the second one is local one-sided composite. We describe the choice of the thresholds and the power functions of different tests when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants , Lin Yang
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