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Recent advancements in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and surrogate modelling have significantly enhanced the feasibility of Bayesian analysis across engineering fields. However, the selection and integration of surrogate models…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Leon Riccius , Iuri B. C. M. Rocha , Joris Bierkens , Hanne Kekkonen , Frans P. van der Meer

Production optimization in stress-sensitive unconventional reservoirs is governed by a nonlinear trade-off between pressure-driven flow and stress-induced degradation of fracture conductivity and matrix permeability. While higher drawdown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Mahammad Valiyev , Jodel Cornelio , Behnam Jafarpour

This study presents an integrated computational framework that, given synthesis parameters, predicts the resulting microstructural morphology and mechanical response of ceramic aerogel porous materials by combining physics-based simulations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Md Azharul Islam , Dwyer Deighan , Shayan Bhattacharjee , Daniel Tantalo , Pratyush Kumar Singh , David Salac , Danial Faghihi

Subsurface remediation often involves reconstruction of contaminant release history from sparse observations of solute concentration. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), the most accurate and general method for this task, is rarely used in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Zitong Zhou , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

A surrogate model that accurately predicts distribution system voltages is crucial for reliable smart grid planning and operation. This letter proposes a fixed-point data-driven surrogate modeling method that employs a limited dataset to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Hoang Tien Nguyen , Young-Jin Kim , Dae-Hyun Choi

Applications of Discrete Fracture Network (DFN) modeling are becoming increasingly prevalent in engineering analyses involving fractured rock masses. For example, kinematic evaluations of slope or underground excavation stability and the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-11-16 Younes Fadakar Alghalandis , Davide Elmo , Erik Eberhardt

Discrete Fracture and Matrix (DFM) models describe fractured porous media as complex sets of 2D planar polygons embedded in a 3D matrix representing the surrounding porous medium. The numerical simulation of the flow in a DFM requires the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-31 M. F. Benedetto , A. Borio , F. Kyburg , J. Mollica , S. Scialo

General multivariate distributions are notoriously expensive to sample from, particularly the high-dimensional posterior distributions in PDE-constrained inverse problems. This paper develops a sampler for arbitrary continuous multivariate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Sergey Dolgov , Karim Anaya-Izquierdo , Colin Fox , Robert Scheichl

For computational efficiency, surrogate models have been used to emulate mathematical simulators for physical or biological processes. High-speed simulation is crucial for conducting uncertainty quantification (UQ) when the simulation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Lixiang Zhang , Jia Li

Structural and topological information play a key role in modeling flow and transport through fractured rock in the subsurface. Discrete fracture network (DFN) computational suites such as dfnWorks are designed to simulate flow and…

Modeling gas flow through fractures of subsurface rock is a particularly challenging problem because of the heterogeneous nature of the material. High-fidelity simulations using discrete fracture network (DFN) models are one methodology for…

This work explores a dynamics-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) as a data-driven surrogate for computationally intensive Earth system simulations. Focusing on multivariate time series describing global ocean transport, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Adeline Hillier , Jennifer Sleeman , Jay Brett , Caroline Tang , Jenelle Millison , Anand Gnanadesikan

Surrogate models are widely used in mechanical design and manufacturing process optimization, where high-fidelity computational models may be unavailable or prohibitively expensive. Their effectiveness, however, is often limited by data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Bingran Wang , Seongha Jeong , Sebastiaan P. C. van Schie , Dongyeon Han , Jaeho Min , John T. Hwang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an active area of research, and an essential technique used in all fields of science and engineering. The most common methods for UQ are Monte Carlo and surrogate-modelling. The former method is…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-01 Arnau Albà , Romana Boiger , Dimitri Rochman , Andreas Adelmann

Graph neural networks, recently introduced into the field of fluid flow surrogate modeling, have been successfully applied to model the temporal evolution of various fluid flow systems. Existing applications, however, are mostly restricted…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-14 Rui Gao , Zhi Cheng , Rajeev K. Jaiman

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Exploring ensemble simulations is increasingly important across many scientific domains. However, supporting flexible post-hoc exploration remains challenging due to the trade-off between storing the expensive raw data and flexibly…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Ziwei Li , Rumali Perera , Angus Forbes , Ken Moreland , Dave Pugmire , Scott Klasky , Wei-Lun Chao , Han-Wei Shen

When evaluating quantities of interest that depend on the solutions to differential equations, we inevitably face the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. Especially for parametrized, time dependent problems in engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Jan S. Hesthaven

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

In this work, we introduce a time memory formalism in poroelasticity model that couples the pressure and displacement. We assume this multiphysics process occurs in multicontinuum media. The mathematical model contains a coupled system of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Aleksei Tyrylgin , Maria Vasilyeva , Anatoly Alikhanov , Dongwoo Sheen