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This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

There are many issues that can cause problems when attempting to infer model parameters from data. Data and models are both imperfect, and as such there are multiple scenarios in which standard methods of inference will lead to misleading…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-01 Simon L. Cotter

This paper considers the problem of enhancing user privacy in common machine learning development tasks, such as data annotation and inspection, by substituting the real data with samples form a generative adversarial network. We propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Aleksei Triastcyn , Boi Faltings

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

The design process of complex systems such as new configurations of aircraft or launch vehicles is usually decomposed in different phases which are characterized for instance by the depth of the analyses in terms of number of design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Loïc Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , Ali Hebbal

High-dimensional Bayesian inverse analysis (dim >> 100) is mostly unfeasible for computationally demanding, nonlinear physics-based high-fidelity (HF) models. Usually, the use of more efficient gradient-based inference schemes is impeded if…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Jonas Nitzler , Bugrahan Z. Temür , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Wolfgang A. Wall

In the present work, we introduce a novel approach to enhance the precision of reduced order models by exploiting a multi-fidelity perspective and DeepONets. Reduced models provide a real-time numerical approximation by simplifying the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Nicola Demo , Marco Tezzele , Gianluigi Rozza

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

Application for semantic segmentation models in areas such as autonomous vehicles and human computer interaction require real-time predictive capabilities. The challenges of addressing real-time application is amplified by the need to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Ethan Goan , Clinton Fookes

Multi-fidelity modeling and learning are important in physical simulation-related applications. It can leverage both low-fidelity and high-fidelity examples for training so as to reduce the cost of data generation while still achieving good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Shibo Li , Zheng Wang , Robert M. Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Bayesian optimization is a popular framework for the optimization of black box functions. Multifidelity methods allows to accelerate Bayesian optimization by exploiting low-fidelity representations of expensive objective functions. Popular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Francesco Di Fiore , Laura Mainini

The increase in complexity of autonomous systems is accompanied by a need of data-driven development and validation strategies. Advances in computer graphics and cloud clusters have opened the way to massive parallel high fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Osama Maqbool , Jürgen Roßmann

Optimal experimental design is a well studied field in applied science and engineering. Techniques for estimating such a design are commonly used within the framework of parameter estimation. Nonetheless, in recent years parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Md Shahriar Rahim Siddiqui , Arman Rahmim , Eldad Haber

Online algorithms for detecting changepoints, or abrupt shifts in the behavior of a time series, are often deployed with limited resources, e.g., to edge computing settings such as mobile phones or industrial sensors. In these scenarios it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-27 Gregory W. Gundersen , Diana Cai , Chuteng Zhou , Barbara E. Engelhardt , Ryan P. Adams

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

Reliable application of machine learning is of primary importance to the practical deployment of deep learning methods. A fundamental challenge is that models are often unreliable due to overconfidence. In this paper, we estimate a model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Ailin Deng , Miao Xiong , Bryan Hooi

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio

We develop a new computational approach for "focused" optimal Bayesian experimental design with nonlinear models, with the goal of maximizing expected information gain in targeted subsets of model parameters. Our approach considers…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Chi Feng , Youssef M. Marzouk

Solutions to fractional models inherently exhibit non-smooth behavior, which significantly deteriorates the accuracy and therefore efficiency of existing numerical methods. We develop a two-stage data-infused computational framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Jorge L. Suzuki , Mohsen Zayernouri

In this paper, we study a fixed-confidence, fixed-tolerance formulation of a class of stochastic bi-level optimization problems, where the upper-level problem selects from a finite set of systems based on a performance metric, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Yuhao Wang , Seong-Hee Kim , Enlu Zhou