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We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

We consider the task of sampling with respect to a log concave probability distribution. The potential of the target distribution is assumed to be composite, \textit{i.e.}, written as the sum of a smooth convex term, and a nonsmooth convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Adil Salim , Peter Richtárik

Multi-dimensional distributions whose marginal distributions are uniform are called copulas. Among them, the one that satisfies given constraints on expectation and is closest to the independent distribution in the sense of Kullback-Leibler…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Yici Chen , Tomonari Sei

We study two adaptive importance sampling schemes for estimating the probability of a rare event in the high-dimensional regime $d \to \infty$ with $d$ the dimension. The first scheme is the prominent cross-entropy (CE) method, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Jason Beh , Yonatan Shadmi , Florian Simatos

We present theoretical properties of the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a density based on an independent and identically distributed sample in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our study covers both the case where the true underlying density is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Madeleine Cule , Richard Samworth

We present a technique for constructing random fields from a set of training samples. The learning paradigm builds increasingly complex fields by allowing potential functions, or features, that are supported by increasingly large subgraphs.…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2016-08-31 S. Della Pietra , V. Della Pietra , J. Lafferty

We show that the predicted probability distributions for any $N$-parameter statistical model taking the form of an exponential family can be explicitly and analytically embedded isometrically in a $N{+}N$-dimensional Minkowski space. That…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Han Kheng Teoh , Katherine N. Quinn , Jaron Kent-Dobias , Colin B. Clement , Qingyang Xu , James P. Sethna

In this paper we formulate a probabilistic model for class-specific discriminant subspace learning. The proposed model can naturally incorporate the multi-modal structure of the negative class, which is neglected by existing class-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Alexandros Iosifidis

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework for k-shot image classification. The goal is to generalise from an initial large-scale classification task to a separate task comprising new classes and small numbers of examples. The new…

In multi-instance (MI) learning, each object (bag) consists of multiple feature vectors (instances), and is most commonly regarded as a set of points in a multidimensional space. A different viewpoint is that the instances are realisations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-16 Kajsa Møllersen , Jon Yngve Hardeberg , Fred Godtliebsen

We propose algorithms to approximate directed information graphs. Directed information graphs are probabilistic graphical models that depict causal dependencies between stochastic processes in a network. The proposed algorithms identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Christopher J. Quinn , Ali Pinar , Negar Kiyavash

For many applications of probabilistic classifiers it is important that the predicted confidence vectors reflect true probabilities (one says that the classifier is calibrated). It has been shown that common models fail to satisfy this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Michael Panchenko , Anes Benmerzoug , Miguel de Benito Delgado

The goal of a learning algorithm is to receive a training data set as input and provide a hypothesis that can generalize to all possible data points from a domain set. The hypothesis is chosen from hypothesis classes with potentially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-29 Soosan Beheshti , Mahdi Shamsi

The generalization gap of a classifier is related to the complexity of the set of functions among which the classifier is chosen. We study a family of low-complexity classifiers consisting of thresholding a random one-dimensional feature.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Mireille Boutin , Evzenie Coupkova

This paper describes a new Bayesian interpretation of a class of skew--Student $t$ distributions. We consider a hierarchical normal model with unknown covariance matrix and show that by imposing different restrictions on the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani

Many statistical studies are concerned with the analysis of observations organized in a matrix form whose elements are count data. When these observations are assumed to follow a Poisson or a multinomial distribution, it is of interest to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Jérémie Bigot , Charles Deledalle

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental equation of information theory that quantifies the proximity of two probability distributions. Although difficult to understand by examining the equation, an intuition and understanding…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Jonathon Shlens

In this paper we study algorithms to find a Gaussian approximation to a target measure defined on a Hilbert space of functions; the target measure itself is defined via its density with respect to a reference Gaussian measure. We employ the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-11 Frank J. Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of density of $n$ independent observations, under the assumption that it is well approximated by a mixture with a large number of components. The main focus is on statistical properties with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mehdi Sebbar

Inferring and comparing complex, multivariable probability density functions is fundamental to problems in several fields, including probabilistic learning, network theory, and data analysis. Classification and prediction are the two faces…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-30 David J. Galas , T. Gregory Dewey , James Kunert-Graf , Nikita A. Sakhanenko