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Many regulatory and analytic problems require that a prohibited variable influence a decision only through a designated allowable channel -- a conditional-independence requirement that arises in path-specific fairness, the handling of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Zou Yang , Sophia Xiao , Bijan Mazaheri

Testing conditional independence has many applications, such as in Bayesian network learning and causal discovery. Different test methods have been proposed. However, existing methods generally can not work when only discretized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Boyang Sun , Yu Yao , Guang-Yuan Hao , Yumou Qiu , Kun Zhang

We describe a measurement device principle based on discrete iterations of Bayesian updating of system state probability distributions. Although purely classical by nature, these measurements are accompanied with a progressive collapse of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Tristan Benoist

We present a new approach to study measures on ensembles of contours, polymers or other objects interacting by some sort of exclusion condition. For concreteness we develop it here for the case of Peierls contours. Unlike existing methods,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Roberto Fernández , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy L. Garcia

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

We discuss various infinite-dimensional configuration spaces that carry measures quasiinvariant under compactly-supported diffeomorphisms of a manifold M corresponding to a physical space. Such measures allow the construction of unitary…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Gerald A. Goldin , Ugo Moschella , Takao Sakuraba

In this paper, we study invariant Poisson processes of lines (i.e, bi-infinite geodesics) in the $3$-regular tree. More precisely, there exists a unique (up to multiplicative constant) locally finite Borel measure on the space of lines that…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Guillaume Blanc

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

We introduce the notion of BMT independence, allowing us to take arbitrary mixtures of boolean, monotone, and tensor independence and generalizing the notion of BM independence of Wysoczanski. Pair-wise independence relations are encoded…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Octavio Arizmendi , Saul Rogelio Mendoza , Josué Vazquez-Becerra

Poisson's equation is fundamental to the study of Markov chains, and arises in connection with martingale representations and central limit theorems for additive functionals, perturbation theory for stationary distributions, and average…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Peter W. Glynn , Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu

In recent years, a number of functional inequalities have been derived for Poisson random measures, with a wide range of applications. In this paper, we prove that such inequalities can be extended to the setting of marked temporal point…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Ian Flint , Nicolas Privault , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We extend the theory of d-separation to cases in which data instances are not independent and identically distributed. We show that applying the rules of d-separation directly to the structure of probabilistic models of relational data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-07 Marc Maier , Katerina Marazopoulou , David Jensen

In a recent paper as an alternative to models based on the notion of ideal mathematical point, characterized by a property of separatedness, we considered a viewpoint based on the notion of continuous change, making use of elements of a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-16 Bartosz Jura

Conditional independence plays a foundational role in database theory, probability theory, information theory, and graphical models. In databases, conditional independence appears in database normalization and is known as the (embedded)…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Miika Hannula

Mathematical proof aims to deliver confident conclusions, but a very similar process of deduction can be used to make uncertain estimates that are open to revision. A key ingredient in such reasoning is the use of a "default" estimate of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Paul Christiano , Eric Neyman , Mark Xu

A simple pseudo-Hamiltonian formulation is proposed for the linear inhomogeneous systems of ODEs. In contrast to the usual Hamiltonian mechanics, our approach is based on the use of non-stationary Poisson brackets, i.e. corresponding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 V. G. Kupriyanov , S. L. Lyakhovich , A. A. Sharapov

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , Xiaohan Yan , David S. Matteson

Causality plays an important role in understanding intelligent behavior, and there is a wealth of literature on mathematical models for causality, most of which is focused on causal graphs. Causal graphs are a powerful tool for a wide range…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Scott Garrabrant , Matthias Georg Mayer , Magdalena Wache , Leon Lang , Sam Eisenstat , Holger Dell

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

This paper introduces the \textit{weighted partial copula} function for testing conditional independence. The proposed test procedure results from these two ingredients: (i) the test statistic is an explicit Cramer-von Mises transformation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Pascal Bianchi , Kevin Elgui , François Portier