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In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have become increasingly prevalent, offering remarkable text generation capabilities. However, a pressing challenge is their tendency to make confidently wrong predictions, highlighting the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Xiang Gao , Jiaxin Zhang , Lalla Mouatadid , Kamalika Das

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for the reliable application of computational models in engineering and science. Among surrogate modeling techniques, Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is particularly valuable for its…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-15 Jinglai Li , Hongqiao Wang

Inverse problems defined naturally on the sphere are becoming increasingly of interest. In this article we provide a general framework for evaluation of inverse problems on the sphere, with a strong emphasis on flexibility and scalability.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Matthew A. Price , Luke Pratley , Jason D. McEwen

We propose a probabilistic model discovery method for identifying ordinary differential equations (ODEs) governing the dynamics of observed multivariate data. Our method is based on the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Seth M. Hirsh , David A. Barajas-Solano , J. Nathan Kutz

High-dimensional tensor data often exhibit strong temporal correlations that appear as low-dimensional structures in the frequency domain. While the low-tubal-rank tensor model effectively captures these spectral features, making it…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Jiuqian Shang , Jingyang Li , Yang Chen

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is vital for trustworthy deep learning, yet existing methods are either computationally intensive, such as Bayesian or ensemble methods, or provide only partial, task-specific estimates, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zhizhong Zhao , Ke Chen

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

We study the sampling of spatial fields using sensors that are location-unaware but deployed according to a known statistical distribution. It has been shown that uniformly distributed location-unaware sensors cannot infer bandlimited…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-01 Ankur Mallick , Animesh Kumar

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

This work introduces a new method to efficiently solve optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain coefficients. The method leverages two sources of inexactness that trade accuracy for speed:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Matthew J. Zahr , Kevin T. Carlberg , Drew P. Kouri

Uncertainty quantification is a critical yet unsolved challenge for deep learning, especially for the time series imputation with irregularly sampled measurements. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel framework based on the principles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shweta Dahale , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

While neural networks have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, accurately quantifying uncertainty in their predictions is essential to ensure their trustworthiness and enable widespread adoption in critical systems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Joseph Wilson , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Fred Roosta

Recently, uncertainty-aware deep learning methods for multiclass labeling problems have been developed that provide calibrated class prediction probabilities and out-of-distribution (OOD) indicators, letting machine learning (ML) consumers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Harry Li , Steven Jorgensen , John Holodnak , Allan Wollaber

We propose LQ-SGD (Low-Rank Quantized Stochastic Gradient Descent), an efficient communication gradient compression algorithm designed for distributed training. LQ-SGD further develops on the basis of PowerSGD by incorporating the low-rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Hongyang Li , Lincen Bai , Caesar Wu , Mohammed Chadli , Said Mammar , Pascal Bouvry

Trustworthy deployment of ML models requires a proper measure of uncertainty, especially in safety-critical applications. We focus on uncertainty quantification (UQ) for classification problems via two avenues -- prediction sets using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-08 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper explores Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in SVM predictions, particularly for regression and forecasting tasks. Unlike the Neural Network, the SVM solutions are typically more stable, sparse, optimal and interpretable. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Pritam Anand

Deterministic uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning aims to estimate uncertainty with a single pass through a network by leveraging outputs from the network's feature extractor. Existing methods require that the feature extractor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Felix Jimenez , Matthias Katzfuss

The temperature developed in bondwires of integrated circuits (ICs) is a possible source of malfunction, and has to be taken into account during the design phase of an IC. Due to manufacturing tolerances, a bondwire's geometrical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-26 D. Loukrezis , U. Römer , T. Casper , S. Schöps , H. De Gersem