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In this paper we investigate the geometry of a discrete Bayesian network whose graph is a tree all of whose variables are binary and the only observed variables are those labeling its leaves. We provide the full geometric description of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Piotr Zwiernik , Jim Q. Smith

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

We present a robust method to find region-level correspondences between shapes, which are invariant to changes in geometry and applicable across multiple shape representations. We generate simplified shape graphs by jointly decomposing the…

Graphics · Computer Science 2018-03-06 Yanir Kleiman , Maks Ovsjanikov

In statistical and nonlinear systems, two qualitatively distinct parameter regions are typically identified: the regular region, characterized by smooth behavior of key quantities, and the critical region, where these quantities exhibit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-01 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

Existing methods for differentiable structure learning in discrete data typically assume that the data are generated from specific structural equation models. However, these assumptions may not align with the true data-generating process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Chang Deng , Bryon Aragam

Asymptotic observables in quantum field theory beyond the familiar $S$-matrix have recently attracted much interest, for instance in the context of gravity waveforms. Such observables can be understood in terms of Schwinger-Keldysh-type…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2024-09-03 Leron Borsten , Simon Jonsson , Hyungrok Kim

Structural parameter identifiability is a property of a differential model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from the model equations in the absence of noise. One of the standard approaches to assessing this…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Peter Thompson

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Animashree Anandkumar , Kamalika Chaudhuri , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Le Song , Tong Zhang

Ordinal Patterns are a time-series data analysis tool used as a preliminary step to construct the Permutation Entropy which itself allows the same characterization of dynamics as chaotic or regular as more theoretical constructs such as the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-02-24 I. Gunther , Arjendu K. Pattanayak , Andrés Aragoneses

Although asymptotic analyses of undirected network models based on degree sequences have started to appear in recent literature, it remains an open problem to study statistical properties of directed network models. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Ting Yan , Chenlei Leng , Ji Zhu

In regression tasks, aleatoric uncertainty is commonly addressed by considering a parametric distribution of the output variable, which is based on strong assumptions such as symmetry, unimodality or by supposing a restricted shape. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Jordi Vitrià , Alberto Rubio

In this paper we provide a connection between the geometrical properties of a chaotic dynamical system and the distribution of extreme values. We show that the extremes of so-called physical observables are distributed according to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Valerio Lucarini , Tobias Kuna , Davide Faranda , Jeroen Wouters

We develop a general framework for estimating function-valued parameters under equality or inequality constraints in infinite-dimensional statistical models. Such constrained learning problems are common across many areas of statistics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Razieh Nabi , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , David Benkeser

Density-based directed distances -- particularly known as divergences -- between probability distributions are widely used in statistics as well as in the adjacent research fields of information theory, artificial intelligence and machine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Michel Broniatowski , Wolfgang Stummer

Hopf bifurcations are a universal route to self-sustained oscillations in driven systems. Despite the absence of any singular stationary state, we show that time-averaged observables generically exhibit singularities at the onset of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Benedikt Remlein , Massimiliano Esposito

We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj Nagaraj

Probabilistic models often have parameters that can be translated, scaled, permuted, or otherwise transformed without changing the model. These symmetries can lead to strong correlation and multimodality in the posterior distribution over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-20 Robert Nishihara , Thomas Minka , Daniel Tarlow

This paper studies observability for non-uniform hypergraphs with inputs and outputs. To capture higher-order interactions, we define a canonical non-homogeneous dynamical system with nonlinear outputs on hypergraphs. We then construct…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Chencheng Zhang , Hao Yang , Shaoxuan Cui , Bin Jiang , Ming Cao

Integer partitions have fascinated people for centuries, from Ramanujan's groundbreaking congruences to the modern theory of modular forms. This paper investigates the statistical properties of odd unimodal sequences--a natural refinement…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Bing He , Guanting Liu
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