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Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

Information is a key component in determining the price of an asset in financial markets, and the main objective of this paper is to study the spread of information in this context. The network of interactions in financial markets is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Stefano Chiaradonna , Nicolas Lanchier

We design iterative receiver schemes for a generic wireless communication system by treating channel estimation and information decoding as an inference problem in graphical models. We introduce a recently proposed inference framework that…

Rich and complex time-series data, such as those generated from engineering systems, financial markets, videos or neural recordings, are now a common feature of modern data analysis. Explaining the phenomena underlying these diverse data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Shakir Mohamed

Over the last decade or so, Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithms have become extremely popular in various structured high-dimensional statistical problems. The fact that the origins of these techniques can be traced back to notions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Oliver Y. Feng , Ramji Venkataramanan , Cynthia Rush , Richard J. Samworth

We study feature propagation on graph, an inference process involved in graph representation learning tasks. It's to spread the features over the whole graph to the $t$-th orders, thus to expand the end's features. The process has been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Biao Xiang , Ziqi Liu , Jun Zhou , Xiaolong Li

Abrupt transitions are ubiquitous in the dynamics of complex systems. Finding precursors, i.e. early indicators of their arrival, is fundamental in many areas of science ranging from electrical engineering to climate. However, obtaining…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-15 Victor Rodriguez-Mendez , Victor M. Eguiluz , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia , Jose J. Ramasco

Belief Propagation (BP) is a simple probabilistic inference algorithm, consisting of passing messages between nodes of a graph representing a probability distribution. Its analogy with a neural network suggests that it could have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Vincent Bouttier , Renaud Jardri , Sophie Deneve

Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

A road network, in the context of traffic forecasting, is typically modeled as a graph where the nodes are sensors that measure traffic metrics (such as speed) at that location. Traffic forecasting is interesting because it is complex as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Arian Prabowo , Hao Xue , Wei Shao , Piotr Koniusz , Flora D. Salim

We study percolation on small-world networks, which has been proposed as a simple model of the propagation of disease. The occupation probabilities of sites and bonds correspond to the susceptibility of individuals to the disease and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

A critical issue in the evolution of software models is change propagation: given a primary change that is made to a model in order to meet a new or changed requirement, what additional secondary changes are needed to maintain consistency…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-02-26 Hoa Khanh Dam , Aditya Ghose

The secrecy graph is a random geometric graph which is intended to model the connectivity of wireless networks under secrecy constraints. Directed edges in the graph are present whenever a node can talk to another node securely in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-15 Amites Sarkar , Martin Haenggi

Compiling Bayesian networks (BNs) to junction trees and performing belief propagation over them is among the most prominent approaches to computing posteriors in BNs. However, belief propagation over junction tree is known to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Lu Zheng , Ole Mengshoel , Jike Chong

Classical path search assumes complete graphs and scalar optimization metrics, yet real infrastructure networks are incomplete and require multi-dimensional evaluation. We introduce the concept of traversal: a generalization of paths that…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Nicolas Tacheny

Measuring and optimizing the influence of nodes in big-data online social networks are important for many practical applications, such as the viral marketing and the adoption of new products. As the viral spreading on social network is a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-31 Yanqing Hu , Shenggong Ji , Yuliang Jin , Ling Feng , H. Eugene Stanley , Shlomo Havlin

We consider a model for random hypergraphs with identifiability, an analogue of connectedness. This model has a phase transition in the proportion of identifiable vertices when the underlying random graph becomes critical. The phase…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christina Goldschmidt

Predictive coding is a message-passing framework initially developed to model information processing in the brain, and now also topic of research in machine learning due to some interesting properties. One of such properties is the natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Billy Byiringiro , Tommaso Salvatori , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Percolation and synchronization are two phase transitions that have been extensively studied since already long ago. A classic result is that, in the vast majority of cases, these transitions are of the second-order type, i.e. continuous…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-01-04 S. Boccaletti , J. A. Almendral , S. Guan , I. Leyva , Z. Liu , I. Sendiña-Nadal , Z. Wang , Y. Zou

Expectation Propagation (EP) is a widely used iterative message-passing algorithm that decomposes a global inference problem into multiple local ones. It approximates marginal distributions as ``beliefs'' using intermediate functions called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Zilu Zhao , Jichao Chen , Dirk Slock
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