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Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

This work proposes a method of wind farm scenario generation to support real-time optimization tools and presents key findings therein. This work draws upon work from the literature and presents an efficient and scalable method for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 Trevor Werho , Junshan Zhang , Vijay Vittal , Yonghong Chen , Anupam Thatte , Long Zhao

Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Xiaochong Dong , Yilin Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events poses significant risks to power distribution systems, leading to widespread outages and severe economic and social consequences. This paper presents a novel simulation framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Xuesong Wang , Shuo Yuan , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Le Yi Wang

We formulate a method to co-optimize power system capacity planning decisions and policy investments that shape electricity load patterns. To this end, we leverage a gradient-based solution technique that enables the efficient solution of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Robert Mieth

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

Power systems with high renewable energy penetration are highly influenced by weather conditions, often facing significant challenges such as persistent power shortages and severe power fluctuations over long time scales. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Kai Kang , Feng Liu , Yifan Su , Zhaojian Wang

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

The supply of electrical energy is being increasingly sourced from renewable generation resources. The variability and uncertainty of renewable generation, compared to a dispatch-able plant, is a significant dissimilarity of concern to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Javad Salehi

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

Scenario generations of cooling, heating, and power loads are of great significance for the economic operation and stability analysis of integrated energy systems. In this paper, a novel deep generative network is proposed to model cooling,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-22 Wenlong Liao , Yusen Wang , Yuelong Wang , Kody Powell , Qi Liu , Zhe Yang

Dynamic contingency screening is a challenging task in dynamic security assessment, when traditional numerical approaches are computationally intensive and often not able to repeatedly solve full AC power flow for all possible contingencies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Quan Tran , Suresh S. Muknahallipatna , Dongliang Duan , Nga Nguyen

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

In the context of the rising share of new energy generation, accurately generating new energy output scenarios is crucial for day-ahead power system scheduling. Deep learning-based scenario generation methods can address this need, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Changgang Wang , Wei Liu , Yu Cao , Dong Liang , Yang Li , Jingshan Mo

Many optimization problems incorporate uncertainty affecting their parameters and thus their objective functions and constraints. As an example, in chance-constrained optimization the constraints need to be satisfied with a certain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-09 Miguel Picallo , Florian Dörfler

Buildings are essential components of power grids, and their energy performance directly affects overall power system operation. This paper presents a novel stochastic optimization framework for building energy management systems, aiming to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Hossein Nourollahi Hokmabad , Tala Hemmati Shahsavar , Pedro P. Vergara , Oleksandr Husev , Juri Belikov

Scenario generation is the construction of a discrete random vector to represent parameters of uncertain values in a stochastic program. Most approaches to scenario generation are distribution-driven, that is, they attempt to construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Jamie Fairbrother , Amanda Turner , Stein Wallace

In this paper we propose a problem-driven scenario generation approach to the single-period portfolio selection problem which use tail risk measures such as conditional value-at-risk. Tail risk measures are useful for quantifying potential…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-14 Jamie Fairbrother , Amanda Turner , Stein Wallace

This paper presents an analysis of the stability and quality of the distributed generation planning problem's investment solution. The entry of distributed generators power based on non-conventional energy sources has been extensively…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-31 Luis Lopez , Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , David Pozo

We propose two scenario-based optimization models for power grid resilience decision making that integrate output from a hydrology model with a power flow model. The models are used to identify an optimal substation hardening strategy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Ashutosh Shukla , Erhan Kutanoglu , John J. Hasenbein
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