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Assessing the quality of aleatoric uncertainty estimates from uncertainty quantification (UQ) deep learning methods is important in scientific contexts, where uncertainty is physically meaningful and important to characterize and interpret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Rebecca Nevin , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian D. Nord

In recent years, deep neural networks have defined the state-of-the-art in semantic segmentation where their predictions are constrained to a predefined set of semantic classes. They are to be deployed in applications such as automated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Kira Maag , Tobias Riedlinger

There are essentially three kinds of approaches to Uncertainty Quantification (UQ): (A) robust optimization, (B) Bayesian, (C) decision theory. Although (A) is robust, it is unfavorable with respect to accuracy and data assimilation. (B)…

Inverse problems are ubiquitous in modern scientific studies and involve recovering an underlying signal from noisy observations often transformed by a measurement operator. These problems are frequently ill-posed, particularly in imaging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Henry J. Aldridge , Tobías I. Liaudat , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

Quantization-aware training (QAT) has achieved remarkable success in low-bit ($\leq$4-bit) quantization for classification networks. However, when applied to more complex visual tasks such as object detection and image segmentation,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Zhaoyang Wang , Dong Wang

Uncertainty in medical image segmentation is inherently non-uniform, with boundary regions exhibiting substantially higher ambiguity than interior areas. Conventional training treats all pixels equally, leading to unstable optimization…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Jinming Zhang , Youpeng Yang , Xi Yang , Haosen Shi , Yuyao Yan , Qiufeng Wang , Guangliang Cheng , Kaizhu Huang

We demonstrate that the recently developed Optimal Uncertainty Quantification (OUQ) theory, combined with recent software enabling fast global solutions of constrained non-convex optimization problems, provides a methodology for rigorous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-16 M. McKerns , F. J. Alexander , K. S. Hickmann , T. J. Sullivan , D. E. Vaughan

In the field of medical imaging, the U-Net architecture, along with its variants, has established itself as a cornerstone for image segmentation tasks, particularly due to its strong performance when trained on limited datasets. Despite its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Steven Korevaar , Ruwan Tennakoon , Alireza Bab-Hadiashar

Uncertainty estimation is crucial for machine learning models to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. However, the conventional discriminative deep learning classifiers produce uncalibrated closed-set predictions for OOD data. A more…

Image-based simulation, the use of 3D images to calculate physical quantities, fundamentally relies on image segmentation to create the computational geometry. However, this process introduces image segmentation uncertainty because there is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Michael C. Krygier , Tyler LaBonte , Carianne Martinez , Chance Norris , Krish Sharma , Lincoln N. Collins , Partha P. Mukherjee , Scott A. Roberts

Equipping predicted segmentation with calibrated uncertainty is essential for safety-critical applications. In this work, we focus on capturing the data-inherent uncertainty (aka aleatoric uncertainty) in segmentation, typically when…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Zhitong Gao , Yucong Chen , Chuyu Zhang , Xuming He

A general adaptive approach rooted in stratified sampling (SS) is proposed for sample-based uncertainty quantification (UQ). To motivate its use in this context the space-filling, orthogonality, and projective properties of SS are compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-14 Michael D. Shields , Kirubel Teferra , Adam Hapij , Raymond P. Daddazio

Ultrasound imaging is a commonly used modality for several diagnostic and therapeutic procedures. However, the diagnosis by ultrasound relies heavily on the quality of images assessed manually by sonographers, which diminishes the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-10 Deepak Raina , Dimitrios Ntentia , SH Chandrashekhara , Richard Voyles , Subir Kumar Saha

Most algorithms for hyperspectral image unmixing produce point estimates of fractional abundances of the materials to be separated. However, in the absence of reliable ground truth, the ability to perform abundance uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Hector Blondel , Lucas Drumetz , Thierry Chonavel

Recent advances in vision foundation models, such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM) and its successor SAM2, have achieved state-of-the-art performance on general image segmentation benchmarks. However, these models struggle in adverse…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Dharsan Ravindran , Kevin Wang , Zhuoyuan Cao , Saleh Abdelrahman , Jeffery Wu

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

Accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) in Large Language Models (LLMs) is critical for trustworthy deployment. While real-world language is inherently ambiguous, reflecting aleatoric uncertainty, existing UQ methods are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Tim Tomov , Dominik Fuchsgruber , Tom Wollschläger , Stephan Günnemann

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

Machine learning (ML) offers promising new approaches to tackle complex problems and has been increasingly adopted in chemical and materials sciences. Broadly speaking, ML models employ generic mathematical functions and attempt to learn…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-21 Jin Dai , Santosh Adhikari , Mingjian Wen

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha