Related papers: Common Risk Factors in Decentralized AI Subnets
Making consistently profitable financial decisions in a continuously evolving and volatile stock market has always been a difficult task. Professionals from different disciplines have developed foundational theories to anticipate price…
Utilizing a generative regime switching framework, we perform Monte-Carlo simulations of asset returns for Value at Risk threshold estimation. Using equity markets and long term bonds as test assets in the global, US, Euro area and UK…
When networked systems of autonomous agents carry out complex tasks, the control and coordination sought after generally depend on a few fundamental control primitives. Chief among these primitives is consensus, where agents are to converge…
For a long time predicting, studying and analyzing financial indices has been of major interest for the financial community. Recently, there has been a growing interest in the Deep-Learning community to make use of reinforcement learning…
This paper studies fundamental limitations of performance for distributed decision-making in robotic networks. The class of decision-making problems we consider encompasses a number of prototypical problems such as average-based consensus…
Simultaneous operation of all sensors in a large-scale sensor network is power-consuming and computationally expensive. Hence, it is desirable to select fewer sensors. A greedy algorithm is widely used for sensor selection in homogeneous…
We use machine learning for designing a medium frequency trading strategy for a portfolio of 5 year and 10 year US Treasury note futures. We formulate this as a classification problem where we predict the weekly direction of movement of the…
Training multiple deep neural networks (DNNs) and averaging their outputs is a simple way to improve the predictive performance. Nevertheless, the multiplied training cost prevents this ensemble method to be practical and efficient. Several…
It is well established that in a market with inclusion of a risk-free asset the single-period mean-variance efficient frontier is a straight line tangent to the risky region, a fact that is the very foundation of the classical CAPM. In this…
We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…
We consider the problem of Adverse Selection and optimal derivative design within a Principal-Agent framework. The principal's income is exposed to non-hedgeable risk factors arising, for instance, from weather or climate phenomena. She…
Federated learning alleviates the privacy risk in distributed learning by transmitting only the local model updates to the central server. However, it faces challenges including statistical heterogeneity of clients' datasets and resource…
Transformers usually expose one inference cost per trained model, while deployed systems often need multiple cost-quality operating points. We study Budgeted Attention Allocation, a monotone head-gating mechanism conditioned on a requested…
The primary objective of this work is to develop a Neural Network based on LSTM to predict stock market movements using tweets. Word embeddings, used in the LSTM network, are initialised using Stanford's GloVe embeddings, pretrained…
In most real scenarios the construction of a risk-neutral portfolio must be performed in discrete time and with transaction costs. Two human imposed constraints are the risk-aversion and the profit maximization, which together define a…
Tensor factorization with hard and/or soft constraints has played an important role in signal processing and data analysis. However, existing algorithms for constrained tensor factorization have two drawbacks: (i) they require…
This paper investigates the enhancement of financial time series forecasting with the use of neural networks through supervised autoencoders, aiming to improve investment strategy performance. It specifically examines the impact of noise…
We propose factor models for the cross-section of daily cryptoasset returns and provide source code for data downloads, computing risk factors and backtesting them out-of-sample. In "cryptoassets" we include all cryptocurrencies and a host…
We use a methodology based on a machine learning algorithm to quantify firms' cyber risks based on their disclosures and a dedicated cyber corpus. The model can identify paragraphs related to determined cyber-threat types and accordingly…
In heterogeneous networks (HetNets), load balancing among different tiers can be effectively achieved by a biased user association scheme with which each user chooses to associate with one base station (BS) based on the biased received…