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We consider inference for high-dimensional separately and jointly exchangeable arrays where the dimensions may be much larger than the sample sizes. For both exchangeable arrays, we first derive high-dimensional central limit theorems over…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-13 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

The present work provides an original framework for random matrix analysis based on revisiting the concentration of measure theory from a probabilistic point of view. By providing various notions of vector concentration ($q$-exponential,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Cosme Louart , Romain Couillet

The bootstrap procedure has emerged as a general framework to construct prediction intervals for future observations in autoregressive time series models. Such models with outlying data points are standard in real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

The maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects is biased. Several bias correction methods, such as analytical and jackknife approaches, have been proposed to enable valid inference. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Haoyuan Xu , Wei Miao , Geert Dhaene , Jad Beyhum

The wild bootstrap is the resampling method of choice in survival analytic applications. Theoretic justifications rely on the assumption of existing intensity functions which is equivalent to an exclusion of ties among the event times.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Dennis Dobler , Merle Munko

We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch

Inference and testing in general point process models such as the Hawkes model is predominantly based on asymptotic approximations for likelihood-based estimators and tests. As an alternative, and to improve finite sample performance, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-22 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Ye Lu , Anders Rahbek , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

Econometric applications with multi-way clustering often feature a small number of effective clusters or heavy-tailed data, making standard cluster-robust and bootstrap inference unreliable in finite samples. In this paper, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis , Yuhao Wang

The paper proposes a new bootstrap approach to the Pesaran, Shin and Smith's bound tests in a conditional equilibrium correction model with the aim to overcome some typical drawbacks of the latter, such as inconclusive inference and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-12 Stefano Bertelli , Gianmarco Vacca , Maria Grazia Zoia

Standard Bayesian inference is known to be sensitive to model misspecification, leading to unreliable uncertainty quantification and poor predictive performance. However, finding generally applicable and computationally feasible methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-31 Jonathan H. Huggins , Jeffrey W. Miller

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

For probability measures on countable spaces we derive distributional limits for empirical entropic optimal transport quantities. More precisely, we show that the empirical optimal transport plan weakly converges to a centered Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Shayan Hundrieser , Marcel Klatt , Axel Munk

Gathering the most information by picking the least amount of data is a common task in experimental design or when exploring an unknown environment in reinforcement learning and robotics. A widely used measure for quantifying the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-17 Johannes Kulick , Robert Lieck , Marc Toussaint

We propose a nonparametric bootstrap procedure for two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. In this design, a weighted likelihood estimator is known to have smaller asymptotic variance than under the convenient assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Takumi Saegusa

We consider the symmetric inclusion process on a general finite graph. Our main result establishes universal upper and lower bounds for the spectral gap of this interacting particle system in terms of the spectral gap of the random walk on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Seonwoo Kim , Federico Sau

In the averaging process on a graph $G = (V, E)$, a random mass distribution $\eta$ on $V$ is repeatedly updated via transformations of the form $\eta_{v}, \eta_{w} \mapsto (\eta_{v} + \eta_{w})/2$, with updates made according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Austin Eide

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration and expectation bounds for the deviation of a sample cross-covariance matrix from its mean. For sub-Gaussian random vectors, we prove a high-probability operator-norm bound governed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso