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Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Recurrent neural networks are effective models to process sequences. However, they are unable to learn long-term dependencies because of their inherent sequential nature. As a solution, Vaswani et al. introduced the Transformer, a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Quentin Fournier , Gaétan Marceau Caron , Daniel Aloise

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

Electricity consumption has increased exponentially during the past few decades. This increase is heavily burdening the electricity distributors. Therefore, predicting the future demand for electricity consumption will provide an upper hand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Anupiya Nugaliyadde , Upeka Somaratne , Kok Wai Wong

The short-term operation of a power system is usually planned by solving a day-ahead unit commitment problem. Due to historical reasons, the commitment of the power generating units is decided over a time horizon typically consisting of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Salvador Pineda , Ricardo Fernandez-Blanco , Juan Miguel Morales

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

The precise forecasting of electricity demand also referred to as load forecasting, is essential for both planning and managing a power system. It is crucial for many tasks, including choosing which power units to commit to, making plans…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kazi Fuad Bin Akhter , Sadia Mobasshira , Saief Nowaz Haque , Mahjub Alam Khan Hesham , Tanvir Ahmed

An impact of climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events. However, confidently predicting the likelihood of extreme precipitation at seasonal scales remains an outstanding challenge. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Daniel Salles Civitarese , Daniela Szwarcman , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

The growing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) significantly changes typical load curves in smart grids. With the development of fast charging technology, the volatility of EV charging demand is increasing, which requires additional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Kedi Zheng , Hanwei Xu , Zeyang Long , Yi Wang , Qixin Chen

Global digitalization has given birth to the explosion of digital services in approximately every sector of contemporary life. Applications of artificial intelligence, blockchain technologies, and internet of things are promising to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Nuoa Lei

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Accurate load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the power balance between generators and consumers,particularly with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, which introduce significant intermittent volatility. With the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mingyang Gao , Suyang Zhou , Wei Gu , Zhi Wu , Haiquan Liu , Aihua Zhou

Achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 requires the integration of increasing amounts of wind power into power grids. This energy source poses a challenge to system operators due to its variability and uncertainty. Therefore, accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Julie Keisler , Etienne Le Naour

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

With the rising costs of conventional sources of energy, the world is moving towards sustainable energy sources including wind energy. Wind turbines consist of several electrical and mechanical components and experience an enormous amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Joyjit Chatterjee , Nina Dethlefs

This paper presents a machine learning framework for electricity demand forecasting across diverse geographical regions using the gradient boosting algorithm XGBoost. The model integrates historical electricity demand and comprehensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Kevin Steijn , Vamsi Priya Goli , Enrico Antonini

Thermal-aware workload distribution is a common approach in the literature for power consumption optimization in data centers. However, data centers also have other operational costs such as the cost of equipment maintenance and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-25 Somayye Rostami , Douglas G. Down , George Karakostas

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell