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Related papers: Endogenous Cycles in a Keen--Goodwin Model with Mi…

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The Keen model is a mathematical model that describes the dynamic evolution of wages, employment, and debt based on the known Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis. It consists of three first order nonlinear ordinary differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Son Van , Teng Zhang

This paper investigates Minsky's cycles by extending the paper of stockhammer et al. (2019) with a nonlinear model to capture possible local real-financial endogenous cycles. We trace nonlinear regime changes and check the presence of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-07 Domenico delli Gatti , Filippo Gusella , Giorgio Ricchiuti

The goal of these notes is to make the concept of "pseudo goodwin cycles" mathematically more precise. At first the title seems like a contradiction to have a wage-led model and still find goodwin cycles in it, but the point we try to make…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Johannes Buchner

As humanity is becoming increasingly confronted by Earth's finite biophysical limits, there is increasing interest in questions about the stability and equitability of a zero-growth capitalist economy, most notably: if one maintains a…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-08 Adam B. Barrett

We propose a continuous-time stock-flow consistent model for inventory dynamics in an economy with firms, banks, and households. On the supply side, firms decide on production based on adaptive expectations for sales demand and a desired…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 Matheus Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

The Goodwin model of endogenous growth looks to study the dynamic interaction between employment rate and worker's share of national income in an economy. The model is simplistically and elegantly described by a set of differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-20 Philip Coyle

The breaching of planetary boundaries and the potentially catastrophic consequences of climate change are leading researchers to question the endless pursuit of economic growth. Several macroeconomic modelling studies have now examined…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-17 Dylan C. Terry-Doyle , Adam B. Barrett

Keen's model describes the dynamics between wage share, employment rate and debt ratio. In literature, the model was extended to represent the effects of inflation and also the speculative money flow. Based on the inflationary model, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ali Tolga Dincer , Sevgi Harman , Seyma Gonul , Ayse Tiryakioglu , Cihangir Ozemir

We perform econometric tests on a modified Goodwin model where the capital accumulation rate is constant but not necessarily equal to one as in the original model (Goodwin, 1967). In addition to this modification, we find that addressing…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-06 Matheus R. Grasselli , Aditya Maheshwari

We study a monetary version of the Keen model by merging two alternative extensions, namely the addition of a dynamic price level and the introduction of speculation. We recall and study old and new equilibria, together with their local…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-24 Matheus Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen Huu

This paper empirically assesses predictions of Goodwin's model of cyclical growth regarding demand and distributive regimes when integrating the real and financial sectors. In addition, it evaluates how financial and employment shocks…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-15 Marcio Santetti

We introduce a prototype agent-based model of the macroeconomy, with budgetary constraints at its core. The model is related to a class of constraint satisfaction problems (CSPs), which has been thoroughly investigated in computer science.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-18 Dhruv Sharma , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi

Solomon and Golo [1] have recently proposed an autocatalytic (self-reinforcing) feedback model which couples a macroscopic system parameter (the interest rate), a microscopic parameter that measures the distribution of the states of the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Natasa Golo , David S. Bree , Guy Kelman , Leanne Usher , Marco Lamieri , Sorin Solomon

We develop a stochastic macro-financial model in continuous time by integrating two specifications of the Keen economic framework with a financial market driven by a jump-diffusion process. The economic block of the model combines monetary…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Matheus R. Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-27 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

This paper studies a discrete-time version of the Lucas-Uzawa endogenous growth model with physical and human capital in the presence of externalities. Existence of an optimal equilibrium is proved using tools from dynamic programming with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Luis Alcala

Goodwin's model is a cornerstone in the study of dynamical systems within macroeconomics, explaining the interaction between employment ratio and wage share in a closed economy. Analogous to predator-prey dynamics in mathematical economics,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Eysan Sans , Melisa Akdemir , Ayse Tiryakioglu , Ayse Peker-Dobie , Cihangir Ozemir

We study analytically and numerically Minsky instability as a combination of top-down, bottom-up and peer-to-peer positive feedback loops. The peer-to-peer interactions are represented by the links of a network formed by the connections…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-04 Sorin Solomon , Natasa Golo

We show that the problem of existence of equilibrium in Kyle's continuous time insider trading model can be tackled by considering a forward-backward system coupled via an optimal transport type constraint at maturity. The forward component…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Shreya Bose , Ibrahim Ekren

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez
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