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In modern randomized experiments, large-scale data collection increasingly yields rich baseline covariates and auxiliary information from multiple sources. Such information offers opportunities for more precise treatment effect estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Wei Ma , Zeqi Wu , Zheng Zhang

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

A novel method for the numerical prediction of the slowly varying dynamics of nonlinear mechanical systems has been developed. The method is restricted to the regime of an isolated nonlinear mode and consists of a two-step procedure: In the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Malte Krack , Lars Panning-von Scheidt , Jörg Wallaschek

The motivation of this work is an inverse problem for the acoustic wave equation, where an array of sensors probes an unknown medium with pulses and measures the scattered waves. The goal of the inversion is to determine from these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Liliana Borcea , Vladimir Druskin , Alexander V. Mamonov , Mikhail Zaslavsky

We examine the problem of causal response estimation for complex objects (e.g., text, images, genomics). In this setting, classical \emph{atomic} interventions are often not available (e.g., changes to characters, pixels, DNA base-pairs).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Limor Gultchin , David S. Watson , Matt J. Kusner , Ricardo Silva

Randomized experiments are a powerful methodology for data-driven evaluation of decisions or interventions. Yet, their validity may be undermined by network interference. This occurs when the treatment of one unit impacts not only its…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

This work develops an active learning framework to intelligently enrich data-driven reduced-order models (ROMs) of parametric dynamical systems, which can serve as the foundation of virtual assets in a digital twin. Data-driven ROMs are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-05 Shane A. McQuarrie , Mengwu Guo , Anirban Chaudhuri

Reduced-order models (ROMs) can efficiently simulate high-dimensional physical systems but lack robust uncertainty quantification methods. Existing approaches are frequently architecture- or training-specific, which limits flexibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jonas E. Katona , Emily K. de Jong , Nipun Gunawardena

Multiple model reduction techniques have been proposed to tackle linear and non linear problems. Intrusive model order reduction techniques exhibit high accuracy levels, however, they are rarely used as a standalone industrial tool, because…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Mikhael Tannous , Chady Ghnatios , Eivind Fonn , Trond Kvamsdal , Francisco Chinesta

Mediation analysis has traditionally focused on outcome-level summary contrasts, such as mean effects, which may obscure substantial distributional changes induced by complex and nonlinear causal mechanisms. We propose Distributional Causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jinlun Zhang , Haoneng Huang , Zishu Zhan , Chunquan Ou

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

Random objects are complex non-Euclidean data taking value in general metric space, possibly devoid of any underlying vector space structure. Such data are getting increasingly abundant with the rapid advancement in technology. Examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Bing Li , Lingzhou Xue

This work investigates projection-based Reduced-Order Models (ROMs) formulated in the frequency domain, employing a space-time basis constructed with Spectral Proper Orthogonal Decomposition to efficiently represent dominant spatio-temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-12 Xiaodong Li , Davide Lasagna

Infinite-activity completely random measures (CRMs) have become important building blocks of complex Bayesian nonparametric models. They have been successfully used in various applications such as clustering, density estimation, latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Juho Lee , Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron

Representational similarity analysis (RSA) is a multivariate technique to investigate cortical representations of objects or constructs. While avoiding ill-posed matrix inversions that plague multivariate approaches in the presence of many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Roberto Viviani

Material properties such as permeability fields in heterogeneous porous media are often represented as discontinuous, piecewise constant data tied to a given spatial discretization. Such representations are inherently mesh-dependent,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Kapil Chawla , Sanghyun Lee , Yeonjong Shin

The problem of linear predictions has been extensively studied for the past century under pretty generalized frameworks. Recent advances in the robust statistics literature allow us to analyze robust versions of classical linear models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Debolina Paul , Swagatam Das

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

We propose a new ensemble prediction method, Random Subset Averaging (RSA), tailored for settings with many covariates, particularly in the presence of strong correlations. RSA constructs candidate models via binomial random subset strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Wenhao Cui , Jie Hu