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Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

Control of chaotic systems to given targets is a subject of substantial and well-developed research issue in nonlinear science, which can be formulated as a class of multi-modal constrained numerical optimization problem with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-08 Yudong Wang , Xiaoyi Feng , Xin Lyu , Zhengyang Li , Bo Liu

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Closure models are widely used in simulating complex multiscale dynamical systems such as turbulence and the earth system, for which direct numerical simulation that resolves all scales is often too expensive. For those systems without a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Xinghao Dong , Chuanqi Chen , Jin-Long Wu

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

Data-driven control strategies for dynamical systems with unknown parameters are popular in theory and applications. An essential problem is to prevent stochastic linear systems becoming destabilized, due to the uncertainty of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Finding the governing equations from data by sparse optimization has become a popular approach to deterministic modeling of dynamical systems. Considering the physical situations where the data can be imperfect due to disturbances and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Valerio Lucarini , Ying-Cheng Lai

We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

Coarse-graining is central to reducing dimensionality in molecular dynamics, and is typically characterized by a mapping which projects the full state of the system to a smaller class of variables. While extensive literature has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Frédéric Legoll , Tony Lelièvre , Upanshu Sharma

This paper presents a continuous-time optimal control framework for the generation of reference trajectories in driving scenarios with uncertainty. A previous work presented a discrete-time stochastic generator for autonomous vehicles;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ange Valli , Shangyuan Zhang , Abdel Lisser

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

We propose a latent score-based generative AI framework for learning stochastic, non-local closure models and constitutive laws in nonlinear dynamical systems of computational mechanics. This work addresses a key challenge of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Xinghao Dong , Huchen Yang , Jin-Long Wu

The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Bellot , Kim Branson , Mihaela van der Schaar

We study the problem of pathwise stochastic optimal control, where the optimization is performed for each fixed realisation of the driving noise, by phrasing the problem in terms of the optimal control of rough differential equations. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

A widely used heuristic for solving stochastic optimization problems is to use a deterministic rolling horizon procedure, which has been modified to handle uncertainty (e.g. buffer stocks, schedule slack). This approach has been criticized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

This paper presents a constraint-guided deep learning framework for developing physically consistent health indicators in bearing prognostics and health management. Conventional data-driven methods often lack physical plausibility, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Yonas Tefera , Quinten Van Baelen , Maarten Meire , Stijn Luca , Peter Karsmakers

In process operations, it is desirable to manage the sensitivity of the system output against external disturbance in the form of finite $\mathcal{L}_2$-gain stabilization. This matter is, however, nonsensical for stochastic systems because…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Yitao Yan , Shuangyu Han , Jie Bao , Biao Huang