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Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

In question-answering tasks, determining when to trust the outputs is crucial to the alignment of large language models (LLMs). Kuhn et al. (2023) introduces semantic entropy as a measure of uncertainty, by incorporating linguistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Meilin Zhu , Gaojie Jin , Xiaowei Huang , Lijun Zhang

Capacity of entanglement (CoE), an information-theoretic measure of entanglement, defined as the variance of modular Hamiltonian, is known to capture the deviation from the maximal entanglement. We derive an exact expression for the average…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-15 Budhaditya Bhattacharjee , Pratik Nandy , Tanay Pathak

Large language models (LLMs) often behave inconsistently across inputs, indicating uncertainty and motivating the need for its quantification in high-stakes settings. Prior work on calibration and uncertainty quantification often focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Maya Kruse , Majid Afshar , Saksham Khatwani , Anoop Mayampurath , Guanhua Chen , Yanjun Gao

Collaborative Object Detection (COD) and collaborative perception can integrate data or features from various entities, and improve object detection accuracy compared with individual perception. However, adversarial attacks pose a potential…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Cong Chen , Jean-Philippe Monteuuis , Jonathan Petit , Fei Miao

Calibration measures whether a model's predicted confidence aligns with its empirical accuracy, and is central to the reliable deployment of large language models (LLMs) in high-stakes domains such as medicine and law. While much recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Zhanliang Wang , Jiancong Xiao , Ruochen Jin , Shu Yang , Bojian Hou , Li Shen

Multimodal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) aims to infer human sentiment from textual, acoustic, and visual signals. In real-world scenarios, however, multimodal inputs are often compromised by dynamic noise or modality missingness. Existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Yitong Zhu , Yuxuan Jiang , Guanxuan Jiang , Bojing Hou , Peng Yuan Zhou , Ge Lin Kan , Yuyang Wang

With recent breakthroughs in large language models (LLMs) for reasoning, planning, and complex task generation, artificial intelligence systems are transitioning from isolated single-agent architectures to multi-agent systems with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Linlin Wang , Tianqing Zhu , Laiqiao Qin , Longxiang Gao , Wanlei Zhou

Large language models (LLMs) are widely recognized for their exceptional capacity to capture semantics meaning. Yet, there remains no established metric to quantify this capability. In this work, we introduce a quantitative metric,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Hang Chen , Xinyu Yang , Jiaying Zhu , Wenya Wang

Deploying deep learning (DL) models in medical applications relies on predictive performance and other critical factors, such as conveying trustworthy predictive uncertainty. Uncertainty estimation (UE) methods provide potential solutions…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Kudaibergen Abutalip , Numan Saeed , Ikboljon Sobirov , Vincent Andrearczyk , Adrien Depeursinge , Mohammad Yaqub

Benchmarking models is a key factor for the rapid progress in machine learning (ML) research. Thus, further progress depends on improving benchmarking metrics. A standard metric to measure the behavioral alignment between ML models and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-10 Thomas Klein , Sascha Meyen , Wieland Brendel , Felix A. Wichmann , Kristof Meding

We present Entropy Adaptive Decoding (EAD), a novel approach for efficient language model inference that dynamically switches between different-sized models based on prediction uncertainty. By monitoring rolling entropy in model logit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Toby Simonds

Uncertainty estimation and ensembling methods go hand-in-hand. Uncertainty estimation is one of the main benchmarks for assessment of ensembling performance. At the same time, deep learning ensembles have provided state-of-the-art results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Arsenii Ashukha , Alexander Lyzhov , Dmitry Molchanov , Dmitry Vetrov

Uncertainty decomposition refers to the task of decomposing the total uncertainty of a predictive model into aleatoric (data) uncertainty, resulting from inherent randomness in the data-generating process, and epistemic (model) uncertainty,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Bairu Hou , Yujian Liu , Kaizhi Qian , Jacob Andreas , Shiyu Chang , Yang Zhang

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable progress in multiple-choice question answering (MCQA), but their inherent unreliability, such as hallucination and overconfidence, limits their application in high-risk domains. To address…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Guang Yang , Xinyang Liu

Combining multiple Vision-Language Models (VLMs) can enhance multimodal reasoning and robustness, but aggregating heterogeneous models' outputs amplifies uncertainty and increases the risk of hallucinations. We propose SCoOP…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Chung-En Johnny Yu , Brian Jalaian , Nathaniel D. Bastian

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in safety-critical applications such as medical image segmentation. Total uncertainty is typically decomposed into data-related aleatoric uncertainty (AU) and model-related epistemic uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Jakob Lønborg Christensen , Vedrana Andersen Dahl , Morten Rieger Hannemose , Anders Bjorholm Dahl , Christian F. Baumgartner

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in settings where the available context is incomplete or degraded. We argue that an LLM generating answers under incomplete context can be viewed as an implicit imputer, and evaluated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Stef van Buuren

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

Multi-instance data, in which each object (bag) contains a collection of instances, are widespread in machine learning, computer vision, bioinformatics, signal processing, and social sciences. We present a maximum entropy (ME) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Behrouz Behmardi , Forrest Briggs , Xiaoli Z. Fern , Raviv Raich
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