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Accurate forecasting of the arrival time and arrival speed of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a unsolved problem in space weather research. In this study, a comparison of the predicted arrival times and speeds for each CME based,…

Space weather predictions are necessary to avoid damage caused by intense geomagnetic storms. Such strong storms are usually caused by a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) passing at Earth or by the arrival of strong coronal mass…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-28 Tinatin Baratashvili , Beatrice Popescu Braileanu , Fabio Bacchini , Rony Keppens , Stefaan Poedts

The Drag-based Model (DBM) is a 2D analytical model for heliospheric propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in ecliptic plane predicting the CME arrival time and speed at Earth or any other given target in the solar system. It is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-11 Jaša Čalogović , Mateja Dumbović , Davor Sudar , Bojan Vršnak , Karmen Martinić , Manuela Temmer , Astrid Veronig

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the primary sources of intense disturbances at Earth, where their geo-effectiveness is largely determined by their dynamic pressure and internal magnetic field, which can be significantly altered during…

The Time-of-Arrival (ToA) of coronal mass ejections (CME) at Earth is a key parameter due to the space weather phenomena associated with the CME arrival, such as intense geomagnetic storms. Despite the incremental use of new instrumentation…

Using a refined setup process, we simulated the propagation of six observed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) with the 2012 Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme (BATS-R-US) code from the Sun to the Earth or STEREO A and compared the…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-23 J. M. Schmidt , Iver H. Cairns

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale eruptions of plasma from the Sun that play an important role in space weather. Faraday rotation (FR) is the rotation of the plane of polarization that results when a linearly polarized signal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-12 Jason E. Kooi , Patrick D. Fischer , Jacob J. Buffo , Steven R. Spangler

White light images of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are projections on the plane-of-sky (POS). As a result, CME kinematics are subject to projection effects. The error in the true (deprojected) speed of CMEs is one of the main causes of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-14 Evangelos Paouris , Angelos Vourlidas , Athanasios Papaioannou , Anastasios Anastasiadis

We perform and analyze results of a global magnetohydrodyanmic (MHD) simulation of the fast coronal mass ejection (CME) that occurred on 2011 March 7. The simulation is made using the newly developed Alfv\'en Wave Solar Model (AWSoM), which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-18 M. Jin , W. B. Manchester , B. van der Holst , I. Sokolov , G. Toth , A. Vourlidas , C. A. de Koning , T. I. Gombosi

In this study, we present a new method for forecasting arrival times and speeds of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at any location in the inner heliosphere. This new approach enables the adoption of a highly flexible geometrical shape for the…

We report on an observationally constrained analytical model, the INterplanetary Flux ROpe Simulator (INFROS), for predicting the magnetic-field vectors of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the interplanetary medium. The main architecture of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-29 Ranadeep Sarkar , Nat Gopalswamy , Nandita Srivastava

We present multi-point in situ observations of a complex sequence of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which may serve as a benchmark event for numerical and empirical space weather prediction models. On 2010 August 1, instruments on various…

We investigate the Sun-Earth dynamics of a set of 38 well-observed Coronal Mass Ejections(CMEs) using data from the STEREO, SOHO missions and WIND instrument. We seek to quantify the relative contributions of Lorentz force and aerodynamic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Nishtha Sachdeva

We report on a numerical investigation of two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which interact as they propagate in the inner heliosphere. We focus on the effect of the orientation of the CMEs relative to each other by performing four different…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 N. Lugaz , C. J. Farrugia , W. B. Manchester , N. Schwadron

Multi-spacecraft observations are used to study the in-situ effects of a large CME erupting from the farside of the Sun on 3 November 2011, with particular emphasis on the associated solar energetic particle (SEP) event. At that time both…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-12 A. J. Prise , L. K. Harra , S. A. Matthews , D. M. Long , A. D. Aylward

Forecasting the in situ properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from remote images is expected to strongly enhance predictions of space weather, and is of general interest for studying the interaction of CMEs with planetary…

The shape and dynamics of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) vary significantly based on the instrument and wavelength used. This has led to significant debate about the proper definitions of CME/shock fronts, pile-up/compression regions, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-27 Oleg Stepanyuk , Kamen Kozarev

We present a first-principles-based coronal mass ejection (CME) model suitable for both scientific and operational purposes by combining a global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind model with a flux rope-driven CME model. Realistic CME…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-18 M. Jin , W. B. Manchester , B. van der Holst , I. Sokolov , G. Toth , R. E. Mullinix , A. Taktakishvili , A. Chulaki , T. I. Gombosi

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the most significant drivers of adverse space weather at Earth, but the physics governing their propagation through the heliosphere is not well understood. While stereoscopic imaging of CMEs with the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-15 Jason P. Byrne , Shane A. Maloney , R. T. James McAteer , Jose M. Refojo , Peter T. Gallagher