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Adaptive experimental designs have gained popularity in clinical trials and online experiments. Unlike traditional, fixed experimental designs, adaptive designs can dynamically adjust treatment randomization probabilities and other design…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Wenxin Zhang , Mark van der Laan

Although deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has many success stories, the large-scale deployment of policies learned through these advanced techniques in safety-critical scenarios is hindered by their lack of formal guarantees. Variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Florent Delgrange , Ann Nowé , Guillermo A. Pérez

Accelerated degradation tests are used to provide accurate estimation of lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products within a relatively short testing time. Data from particular tests at high levels of stress (e.g., temperature,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-07 Helmi Shat , Rainer Schwabe

In this paper, we consider the situation under a life test, in which the failure time of the test units are not related deterministically to an observable stochastic time varying covariate. In such a case, the joint distribution of failure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 S. Shemehsavar , Morteza Amini

In this article we consider a simple step stress set up under the cumulative exposure model assumption. At each stress level the lifetime distribution of the experimental units are assumed to follow the generalized exponential distribution.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-18 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu , Ayon Ganguly

Computation of sample size is important when designing clinical trials. The presence of competing risks makes the design of clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints cumbersome. A model based on the subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Xiang Geng , Zhaojin Li , Chengfeng Zhang , Yanjie Wang , Haoning Shen , Zhiheng Huang , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

As the maximum likelihood method is the most commonly used method for parameters estimation being unbiased, consistent, efficient, and asymptotically normal, MLE is used to fit the new distribution (MBUW). But in small to moderate sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Iman Mohammed Attia

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

Test time adaptation (TTA) equips deep learning models to handle unseen test data that deviates from the training distribution, even when source data is inaccessible. While traditional TTA methods often rely on entropy as a confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Afshar Shamsi , Rejisa Becirovic , Ahmadreza Argha , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Hamid Alinejad-Rokny , Arash Mohammadi

Traditional benchmarks for large language models (LLMs), such as HELM and AIR-BENCH, primarily assess safety through breadth-oriented evaluation across diverse tasks and risk categories. However, real-world deployment often exposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Keita Broadwater

This paper defines a Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the admittance matrix estimation of distribution grids, utilising voltage magnitude and power measurements collected only from common, unsychronised measuring devices (Smart…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-06 Lisa Laurent , Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

The main objective of accelerated life tests (ALTs) is to predict fraction failings of products in the field. However, there are often discrepancies between the predicted fraction failing from the lab testing data and that from the field…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Zhi-Sheng Ye , Yili Hong , Yimeng Xie

Early detection of faults in induction motors is crucial for ensuring uninterrupted operations in industrial settings. Among the various fault types encountered in induction motors, bearing, rotor, and stator faults are the most prevalent.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-25 Usman Ali , Waqas Ali , Umer Ramzan

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has proven effective in solving complex decision-making tasks across various domains, but challenges remain in continuous-time settings, particularly when state dynamics are governed by stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Chenyang Jiang , Donggyu Kim , Alejandra Quintos , Yazhen Wang

We develop a maximum likelihood estimating approach for time-to-event Weibull regression models with outcome-dependent sampling, where sampling of subjects is dependent on the residual fraction of the time left to developing the event of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Brian D. M. Tom , Vernon T. Farewell , Sheila M. Bird

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

Zhang (2019) presented a general estimation approach based on the Gaussian distribution for general parametric models where the likelihood of the data is difficult to obtain or unknown, but the mean and variance-covariance matrix are known.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Ángel Felipe , María Jaenada , Pedro Miranda , Leandro Pardo

In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Neill Smit , Lizanne Raubenheimer

Traditional benchmarks for large language models (LLMs), such as HELM and AIR-BENCH, primarily assess safety risk through breadth-oriented evaluation across diverse tasks. However, real-world deployment often exposes a different class of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Keita Broadwater

Augmenting randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external real-world data (RWD) has the potential to improve the finite sample efficiency of treatment effect estimators. We describe using adaptive targeted maximum likelihood estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Sky Qiu , Jens Tarp , Andrew Mertens , Mark van der Laan