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Squared error loss remains the most commonly used loss function for constructing a Bayes estimator of the parameter of interest. However, it can lead to sub-optimal solutions when a parameter is defined in a restricted space. It can also be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , Mauro Gasparini

Measurement error arises through a variety of mechanisms. A rich literature exists on the bias introduced by covariate measurement error and on methods of analysis to address this bias. By comparison, less attention has been given to errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Pamela Shaw , Jiwei He , Bryan Shepherd

We study the weak convergence of iterates of so-called centred kernel quadratic stochastic operators. These iterations, in a population evolution setting, describe the additive perturbation of the arithmetic mean of the traits of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Joachim Domsta , Małgorzata Pułka

We give algorithms for estimating the expectation of a given real-valued function $\phi:X\to {\bf R}$ on a sample drawn randomly from some unknown distribution $D$ over domain $X$, namely ${\bf E}_{{\bf x}\sim D}[\phi({\bf x})]$. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Vitaly Feldman

Herding and kernel herding are deterministic methods of choosing samples which summarise a probability distribution. A related task is choosing samples for estimating integrals using Bayesian quadrature. We show that the criterion minimised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Ferenc Huszar , David Duvenaud

Herding and kernel herding are deterministic methods of choosing samples which summarise a probability distribution. A related task is choosing samples for estimating integrals using Bayesian quadrature. We show that the criterion minimised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-18 Ferenc Huszár , David Duvenaud

Linear regression is a data analysis technique, which is categorized as supervised learning. By utilizing known data, we can predict unknown data. Recently, researchers have explored the use of quantum annealing (QA) to perform linear…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-14 Asuka Koura , Takashi Imoto , Katsuki Ura , Yuichiro Matsuzaki

Counterfactual explanations utilize feature perturbations to analyze the outcome of an original decision and recommend an actionable recourse. We argue that it is beneficial to provide several alternative explanations rather than a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Natraj Raman , Daniele Magazzeni , Sameena Shah

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Sparse models are desirable for many applications across diverse domains as they can perform automatic variable selection, aid interpretability, and provide regularization. When fitting sparse models in a Bayesian framework, however,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Jeffrey P. Spence

It is well-known that trimmed sample means are robust against heavy tails and data contamination. This paper analyzes the performance of trimmed means and related methods in two novel contexts. The first one consists of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Roberto I. Oliveira , Lucas Resende

Mean field approximation is a powerful technique which has been used in many settings to study large-scale stochastic systems. In the case of two-timescale systems, the approximation is obtained by a combination of scaling arguments and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Sebastian Allmeier , Nicolas Gast

Penalized quantile regression (QR) is widely used for studying the relationship between a response variable and a set of predictors under data heterogeneity in high-dimensional settings. Compared to penalized least squares, scalable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-06 Rebeka Man , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Higher-order spectra (or polyspectra), defined as the Fourier Transform of a stationary process' autocumulants, are useful in the analysis of nonlinear and non Gaussian processes. Polyspectral means are weighted averages over Fourier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Tucker McElroy , Soumendra Lahiri

ReRecent studies in machine learning are based on models in which parameters or state variables are bounded restricted. These restrictions are from prior information to ensure the validity of scientific theories or structural consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Kristofer Mansson

The SLOPE estimates regression coefficients by minimizing a regularized residual sum of squares using a sorted-$\ell_1$-norm penalty. The SLOPE combines testing and estimation in regression problems. It exhibits suitable variable selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Amir Sepehri

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a Gaussian random vector when the mean vector is assumed to be in a given convex set. The most natural solution is to take the Euclidean projection of the data vector on to this convex set; in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee

We develop a Bayesian median autoregressive (BayesMAR) model for time series forecasting. The proposed method utilizes time-varying quantile regression at the median, favorably inheriting the robustness of median regression in contrast to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-08 Zijian Zeng , Meng Li

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni