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Vector-borne diseases arise from the coupled dynamics of human mobility and mosquito ecology, producing outbreaks shaped by both spatial distributions and temporal patterns of movement. Here we develop a coarse-grained hub--leaf reduction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-29 Bibandhan Poudyal , Gourab Ghoshal

We show that the generalized diffusion coefficient of a subdiffusive intermittent map is a fractal function of control parameters. A modified continuous time random walk theory yields its coarse functional form and correctly describes a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 N. Korabel , A. V. Chechkin , R. Klages , I. M. Sokolov , V. Yu. Gonchar

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on generalized diffusion equations (containing derivatives of fractional order in space or/and time) and related random walk models. The fundamental solution (for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Daniele Moretti , Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

We study epidemic outbreaks on random Delaunay triangulations by applying Asynchronous SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model kinetic Monte Carlo dynamics coupled to lattices extracted from the triangulations. In order to investigate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-31 T. F. A. Alves , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho , R. S. Ferreira

In many-particle diffusions, particles that move the furthest and fastest can play an outsized role in physical phenomena. A theoretical understanding of the behavior of such extreme particles is nascent. A classical model, in the spirit of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-22 Jacob B. Hass , Aileen N. Carroll-Godfrey , Eric I. Corwin , Ivan Z. Corwin

Modeling long-range epidemic spreading in a random environment, we consider a quenched disordered, $d$-dimensional contact process with infection rates decaying with the distance as $1/r^{d+\sigma}$. We study the dynamical behavior of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-04-02 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács , F. Iglói

The~numerical solutions to a non-linear Fractional Fokker--Planck (FFP) equation are studied estimating the generalized diffusion coefficients. The~aim is to model anomalous diffusion using an FFP description with fractional velocity…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-10-08 Johan Anderson , Sara Moradi , Tariq Rafiq

We calculate the power spectrum of density fluctuations in the statistical non-equilibrium field theory for classical, microscopic degrees of freedom to first order in the interaction potential. We specialise our result to cosmology by…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-07 Matthias Bartelmann , Felix Fabis , Daniel Berg , Elena Kozlikin , Robert Lilow , Celia Viermann

In Fall 2020, several European countries reported rapid increases in COVID-19 cases along with growing estimates of the effective reproduction rates. Such an acceleration in epidemic spread is usually attributed to time-dependent effects,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-30 Nazmi Burak Budanur , Björn Hof

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi

Fractional quantum dynamics provides a natural framework to capture nonlocal temporal behavior and memory effects in quantum systems. In this work, we analyze the physical consequences of fractional-order quantum evolution using a Green's…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-13 Alexander Lopez , Sébastien Fumeron , Malte Henkel , Trifce Sandev , Esther D. Gutiérrez

It is well-established that including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions invalidates the classical deterministic Lotka-Volterra picture of neutral population cycles. In contrast, stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Uwe C. Tauber

Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-03 Pablo de Castro , Felipe Urbina , Ariel Norambuena , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

We investigate the information-theoretical limits of inference tasks in epidemic spreading on graphs in the thermodynamic limit. The typical inference tasks consist in computing observables of the posterior distribution of the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-25 Alfredo Braunstein , Louise Budzynski , Matteo Mariani

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

The long duration of the COVID-19 pandemic allowed for multiple bursts in the infection and death rates, the so-called epidemic waves. This complex behavior is no longer tractable by simple compartmental model and requires more…

We develop a spatially dependent generalisation to the Wells-Riley model and its extensions applied to COVID-19, that determines the infection risk due to airborne transmission of viruses. We assume that the concentration of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Zechariah Lau , Ian M. Griffiths , Aaron English , Katerina Kaouri

We investigate the effects of relatively rapid variations of the boundaries of an overmoded cavity on the stochastic properties of its interior acoustic or electromagnetic field. For quasi-static variations, this field can be represented as…

Classical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 L. R. Arnaut

In this article we address the problem of the nonlinear interaction of subdiffusive particles. We introduce the random walk model in which statistical characteristics of a random walker such as escape rate and jump distribution depend on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Sergei Fedotov

Probability waves in the configuration space are associated with coherent solutions of the classical Liouville or Fokker-Planck equations. Distributions localized in the momentum space provide action waves, specified by the probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. Grigorescu