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Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are flexible probabilistic frameworks to model statistical networks through a variety of network summary statistics. Conventional Bayesian estimation for ERGMs involves iteratively exchanging with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Yefeng Fan , Simon White

Causal inference and model interpretability are gaining increasing attention, particularly in the biomedical domain. Despite recent advance, decorrelating features in nonlinear environments with human-interpretable representations remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Junda Wang , Weijian Li , Han Wang , Hanjia Lyu , Caroline P. Thirukumaran , Addisu Mesfin , Hong Yu , Jiebo Luo

Diagnosing the internal state of Li-ion batteries is critical for battery research, operation of real-world systems, and prognostic evaluation of remaining lifetime. By using physics-based models to perform probabilistic parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-06 Malik Hassanaly , Corey R. Randall , Peter J. Weddle , Paul J. Gasper , Conlain Kelly , Tanvir R. Tanim , Kandler Smith

In the context of large spectroscopic surveys of stars, data-driven methods are key in deducing physical parameters for millions of spectra in a short time. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) enable us to connect observables (e.g.…

Exoplanet observations are currently analysed with Bayesian retrieval techniques. Due to the computational load of the models used, a compromise is needed between model complexity and computing time. Analysis of data from future facilities,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-29 Francisco Ardevol Martinez , Michiel Min , Inga Kamp , Paul I. Palmer

Inferring the parameters of a stochastic model based on experimental observations is central to the scientific method. A particularly challenging setting is when the model is strongly indeterminate, i.e. when distinct sets of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Pedro L. C. Rodrigues , Thomas Moreau , Gilles Louppe , Alexandre Gramfort

The Design of Experiments (DOEs) is a fundamental scientific methodology that provides researchers with systematic principles and techniques to enhance the validity, reliability, and efficiency of experimental outcomes. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Miao Huang , Hongqiao Wang , Kunyu Wu

We develop a framework for spectrum sensing in cooperative amplify-and-forward cognitive radio networks. We consider a stochastic model where relays are assigned in cognitive radio networks to transmit the primary user's signal to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-11-02 Ido Nevat , Gareth W. Peters , Jinhong Yuan , Iain Collings

The California Bearing Ratio (CBR) is a key geotechnical indicator used to assess the load-bearing capacity of subgrade soils, especially in transportation infrastructure and foundation design. Traditional CBR determination relies on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Abdullah Hulusi Kökçam , Uğur Dağdeviren , Talas Fikret Kurnaz , Alparslan Serhat Demir , Caner Erden

We develop an empirical Bayes framework for experimental design that leverages information from prior related studies. When a researcher has access to estimates from previous studies on similar parameters, they can use empirical Bayes to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Zhiheng You

We address the computational efficiency in solving the A-optimal Bayesian design of experiments problems for which the observational map is based on partial differential equations and, consequently, is computationally expensive to evaluate.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-14 Vinh Hoang , Luis Espath , Sebastian Krumscheid , Raúl Tempone

In cognitive radio (CR) technology, the trend of sensing is no longer to only detect the presence of active primary users. A large number of applications demand for more comprehensive knowledge on primary user behaviors in spatial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Weijia Han , Huiyan Sang , Min Sheng , Jiandong Li , Shuguang Cui

Bayesian model selection provides a formal method of determining the level of support for new parameters in a model. However, if there is not a specific enough underlying physical motivation for the new parameters it can be hard to assign…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Christopher Gordon , Roberto Trotta

Likelihood-to-evidence ratio estimation is usually cast as either a binary (NRE-A) or a multiclass (NRE-B) classification task. In contrast to the binary classification framework, the current formulation of the multiclass version has an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Christoph Weniger , Patrick Forré

Radio map estimation (RME) is the problem of inferring the value of a certain metric (e.g. signal power) across an area of interest given a collection of measurements. While most works tackle this problem from a purely non-Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-11 Tien Ngoc Ha , Daniel Romero

Determining the causal structure of a set of variables is critical for both scientific inquiry and decision-making. However, this is often challenging in practice due to limited interventional data. Given that randomized experiments are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Raj Agrawal , Chandler Squires , Karren Yang , Karthik Shanmugam , Caroline Uhler

Complex-Valued Neural Networks (CVNNs) have significant advantages in handling tasks that involve complex numbers. However, existing CVNNs are unable to quantify predictive uncertainty. We propose, for the first time, dropout-based Bayesian…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Zehuan Zhang , Mark Chen , He Li , Wayne Luk

A critical limitation of current methods based on Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) is that they are unable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the learned appearance and geometry of the scene. This information is paramount in real…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Jianxiong Shen , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer , Adria Ruiz

Causal models are crucial for understanding complex systems and identifying causal relationships among variables. Even though causal models are extremely popular, conditional probability calculation of formulas involving interventions pose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Sainyam Galhotra , Joseph Y. Halpern

Effective properties of composite materials are defined as the ensemble average of property-specific PDE solutions over the underlying microstructure distributions. Traditionally, predicting such properties can be done by solving PDEs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Guangyu Nie , Yang Jiao , Yi Ren