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Storm surge is a major natural hazard in coastal regions, responsible both for significant property damage and loss of life. Accurate, efficient models of storm surge are needed both to assess long-term risk and to guide emergency…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Benjamin Pachev , Prateek Arora , Carlos del-Castillo-Negrete , Eirik Valseth , Clint Dawson

Coastal communities face significant risk from storm-induced coastal flooding, which causes substantial societal and economic losses worldwide. Machine learning techniques have increasingly been integrated into coastal hazard modeling,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-19 Ziyue Liu , Mohammad Ahmadi Gharehtoragh , Brenna Kari Losch , David R. Johnson

Planners who wish to manage coastal flood risk with long-lived infrastructure (e.g., levees, floodwalls) under a constrained computational budget face a tradeoff. Simulating a large number of future time periods or scenarios with different…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-03 David R Johnson , Mohammad Ahmadi Gharehtoragh

During hurricane seasons, emergency managers and other decision makers need accurate and `on-time' information on potential storm surge impacts. Fully dynamical computer models, such as the ADCIRC tide, storm surge, and wind-wave model take…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Anton Bezuglov , Brian Blanton , Reinaldo Santiago

Storm surge forecasting remains a critical challenge in mitigating the impacts of tropical cyclones on coastal regions, particularly given recent trends of rapid intensification and increasing nearshore storm activity. Traditional high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Noujoud Nader , Stefanos Giaremis , Clint Dawson , Carola Kaiser , Karame Mohammadiporshokooh , Hartmut Kaiser

Storm surge is one of the deadliest hazards posed by tropical cyclones (TCs), yet assessing its current and future risk is difficult due to the phenomenon's rarity and physical complexity. Recent advances in artificial intelligence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Julian R. Rice , Karthik Balaguru , Fadia Ticona Rollano , John Wilson , Brent Daniel , David Judi , Ning Sun , L. Ruby Leung

Coastal regions in North America face major threats from storm surges caused by hurricanes and nor'easters. Traditional numerical models, while accurate, are computationally expensive, limiting their practicality for real-time predictions.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-18 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki , Teng Wu

Hurricane-driven storm surge is one of the most deadly and costly natural disasters, making precise quantification of the surge hazard of great importance. Surge hazard quantification is often performed through physics-based computer models…

Traditional physics-based models of geophysical flows, such as debris flows and landslides that pose significant risks to human lives and infrastructure are computationally expensive, limiting their utility for large-scale parameter sweeps,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-11 Palak Patel , Luke McGuire , Abani Patra

High-fidelity numerical simulations of chaotic, high dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are computationally expensive, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. Most surrogate models for such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Hojin Kim , Romit Maulik

Coastal planners using probabilistic risk assessments to evaluate structural flood risk reduction projects may wish to simulate the hydrodynamics associated with large suites of tropical cyclones in large ensembles of landscapes: with and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-16 Mohammad Ahmadi Gharehtoragh , David R Johnson

Risk assessment of hurricane-driven storm surge relies on deterministic computer models that produce outputs over a large spatial domain. The surge models can often be run at a range of fidelity levels, with greater precision yielding more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Cyrus S. McCrimmon , Pulong Ma

Hurricanes and coastal floods are among the most disastrous natural hazards. Both are intimately related to storm surges, as their causes and effects, respectively. However, the short-term forecasting of storm surges has proven challenging,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-10 Patrick Ebel , Brandon Victor , Peter Naylor , Gabriele Meoni , Federico Serva , Rochelle Schneider

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Building design optimization often depends on physics-based simulation tools such as EnergyPlus, which, although accurate, are computationally expensive and slow. Surrogate models provide a faster alternative, yet most are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Piragash Manmatharasan , Girma Bitsuamlak , Katarina Grolinger

In this research paper, we study the capability of artificial neural network models to emulate storm surge based on the storm track/size/intensity history, leveraging a database of synthetic storm simulations. Traditionally, Computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Ehsan Adeli , Luning Sun , Jianxun Wang , Alexandros A. Taflanidis

Storm surges cause coastal inundations due to the setup of the water surface resulting from atmospheric pressure, surface winds and breaking waves. The latter is particularly difficult to be accounted for. For instance, it was observed that…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-07 Theodoros Mathikolonis , Volker Roeber , Serge Guillas

Extreme precipitation events, such as violent rainfall and hail storms, routinely ravage economies and livelihoods around the developing world. Climate change further aggravates this issue. Data-driven deep learning approaches could widen…

Identifying tropical cyclones that generate destructive storm tides for risk assessment, such as from large downscaled storm catalogs for climate studies, is often intractable because it entails many expensive Monte Carlo hydrodynamic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Grace Jiang , Jiangchao Qiu , Sai Ravela
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