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When evaluating causal influence from one time series to another in a multivariate dataset it is necessary to take into account the conditioning effect of the other variables. In the presence of many variables, and possibly of a reduced…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-03-26 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

The interventional effects approach to causal mediation analysis is increasingly common in epidemiologic research, given its potential to address policy-relevant questions about hypothetical mediator interventions. Multiple imputation (MI)…

In this paper, we consider an opioid epidemic dynamical model with random perturbation that typically describes the interplay between regular prescription use, addictive use, and the process of rehabilitation from addiction and vice-versa.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Getachew K. Befekadu , Quanyan Zhu

Cardiovascular diseases and heart failures in particular are the main cause of non-communicable disease mortality in the world. Constant patient monitoring enables better medical treatment as it allows practitioners to react on time and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Kordian Gontarska , Weronika Wrazen , Jossekin Beilharz , Robert Schmid , Lauritz Thamsen , Andreas Polze

To estimate causal effects, analysts performing observational studies in health settings utilize several strategies to mitigate bias due to confounding by indication. There are two broad classes of approaches for these purposes: use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-01 Roy S. Zawadzki , Joshua D. Grill , Daniel L. Gillen

The rapid spread of the Coronavirus SARS-2 is a major challenge that led almost all governments worldwide to take drastic measures to respond to the tragedy. Chief among those measures is the massive lockdown of entire countries and cities,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Salah Ghamizi , Renaud Rwemalika , Lisa Veiber , Maxime Cordy , Tegawende F. Bissyande , Mike Papadakis , Jacques Klein , Yves Le Traon

Predicting extubation failure in intensive care is challenging due to complex data and the severe consequences of inaccurate predictions. Machine learning shows promise in improving clinical decision-making but often fails to account for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Akram Yoosoofsah

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the potential threat of future epidemics caused by novel viruses, we developed a flexible framework for modeling disease intervention effects. This tool is intended to aid decision makers at multiple…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Karleigh Pine , Razvan Veliche , Jared Bennett , Joel Klipfel

We study the best-choice problem for processes which generalise the process of records from Poisson-paced i.i.d. observations. Under the assumption that the observer knows distribution of the process and the horizon, we determine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

We develop a complete analysis of a general entry-exit-scrapping model. In particular, we consider an investment project that operates within a random environment and yields a payoff rate that is a function of a stochastic economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Mihail Zervos , Carlos Oliveira , Kate Duckworth

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Continuity of care is crucial to ensuring positive health outcomes for patients discharged from an inpatient hospital setting, and improved information sharing can help. To share information, caregivers write discharge notes containing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-07 James Mullenbach , Yada Pruksachatkun , Sean Adler , Jennifer Seale , Jordan Swartz , T. Greg McKelvey , Hui Dai , Yi Yang , David Sontag

The generalized g-formula can be used to estimate the probability of survival under a sustained treatment strategy. When treatment strategies are deterministic, estimators derived from the so-called efficient influence function (EIF) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Lan Wen , Julia Marcus , Jessica Young

Efficient methods for large-scale security constrained unit commitment (SCUC) problems have long been an important research topic and a challenge especially in market clearing computation. For large-scale SCUC, the Lagrangian relaxation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Xuan Li , Qiaozhu Zhai , Jingxuan Zhou , Xiaohong Guan

This work develops a flexible inferential framework for nonparametric causal inference in time-to-event settings, based on stochastic interventions defined through multiplicative scaling of the intensity governing an intermediate event…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Helene Charlotte Wiese Rytgaard , Mark van der Laan

We employ a natural method from the perspective of the optimal stopping theory to analyze entry-exit decisions with implementation delay of a project, and provide closed expressions for optimal entry decision times, optimal exit decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Yong-Chao Zhang

In an attempt to speed up the solution of the unit commitment (UC) problem, both machine-learning and optimization-based methods have been proposed to lighten the full UC formulation by removing as many superfluous line-flow constraints as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Álvaro Porras , Salvador Pineda , Juan M. Morales , Asunción Jiménez-Cordero

A current challenge for many Bayesian analyses is determining when to terminate high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. To this end, we propose using an automated sequential stopping procedure that terminates the simulation…

Computation · Statistics 2014-03-24 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal

During an infectious disease outbreak, policymakers must balance medical costs with social and economic burdens and seek interventions that minimize both. To support this decision-making process, we developed a framework that integrates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Jongmin Lee , Renier Mendoza , Victoria May P. Mendoza , Eunok Jung