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Many clinical questions involve estimating the effects of multiple treatments using observational data. When using longitudinal data, the interest is often in the effect of treatment strategies that involve sustaining treatment over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Emily Granger , Gwyneth Davies , Ruth H. Keogh

We propose a simple SIR model in order to investigate the impact of various confinement strategies on a most virulent epidemic. Our approach is motivated by the current COVID-19 pandemic. The main hypothesis is the existence of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-30 G. Nakamura , B. Grammaticos , M. Badoual

Missing data is a persistent challenge in federated learning on electronic health records, particularly when institutions collect time-series data at varying temporal granularities. To address this, we propose Federated Markov Imputation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Christoph Düsing , Philipp Cimiano

Accurate early prediction of in-hospital mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) is essential for timely clinical intervention and efficient resource allocation. This study develops and evaluates machine learning models that integrate both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Nursultan Mamatov , Philipp Kellmeyer

Individualized treatment rules (ITRs) are deterministic decision rules that recommend treatments to individuals based on their characteristics. Though ubiquitous in medicine, ITRs are hardly ever evaluated in randomized controlled trials.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 François Grolleau , Francois Petit , Raphaël Porcher

The pressure of ever-increasing patient demand and budget restrictions make hospital bed management a daily challenge for clinical staff. Most critical is the efficient allocation of resource-heavy Intensive Care Unit (ICU) beds to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Emma Rocheteau , Pietro Liò , Stephanie Hyland

We consider the problem of optimising an expensive-to-evaluate grey-box objective function, within a finite budget, where known side-information exists in the form of the causal structure between the design variables. Standard black-box…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Kim Hammar , Neil Dhir

Intercurrent events (ICEs) and missing values are inevitable in clinical trials of any size and duration, making it difficult to assess the treatment effect for all patients in randomized clinical trials. Defining the appropriate estimand…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-01 Yongming Qu , Junxiang Luo , Stephen J. Ruberg

Longitudinal settings involving outcome, competing risks and censoring events occurring and recurring in continuous time are common in medical research, but are often analyzed with methods that do not allow for taking post-baseline…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Mark J. van der Laan

The optimal moment to start renal replacement therapy in a patient with acute kidney injury (AKI) remains a challenging problem in intensive care nephrology. Multiple randomised controlled trials have tried to answer this question, but…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-10 Pawel Morzywolek , Johan Steen , Wim Van Biesen , Johan Decruyenaere , Stijn Vansteelandt

A fundamental difficulty of causal learning is that causal models can generally not be fully identified based on observational data only. Interventional data, that is, data originating from different experimental environments, improves…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-04 Juan L. Gamella , Christina Heinze-Deml

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a considerable impact on day-to-day life. Tackling the disease by providing the necessary resources to the affected is of paramount importance. However, estimation of the required resources is not a trivial…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Sai Vidyaranya Nuthalapati , Marcela Vizcaychipi , Pallav Shah , Piotr Chudzik , Chee Hau Leow , Paria Yousefi , Ahmed Selim , Keiran Tait , Ben Irving

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

There are limited options to estimate the treatment effects of variables which are continuous and measured at multiple time points, particularly if the true dose-response curve should be estimated as closely as possible. However, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-11 Michael Schomaker , Helen McIlleron , Paolo Denti , Iván Díaz

Power systems Unit Commitment (UC) problem determines the generator commitment schedule and dispatch decisions for power networks based on forecasted electricity demand. However, with the increasing penetration of renewables and stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-13 Xuan He , Jiayu Tian , Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yize Chen

Problem definition: Access to accurate predictions of patients' outcomes can enhance medical staff's decision-making, which ultimately benefits all stakeholders in the hospitals. A large hospital network in the US has been collaborating…

When we plan to use money as an incentive to change the behavior of a person (such as making riders to deliver more orders or making consumers to buy more items), the common approach of this problem is to adopt a two-stage framework in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Juhua Chen , Karson shi , Jialing He , North Chen , Kele Jiang

Pain management in intensive care usually involves complex trade-offs, since both inadequate and excessive treatment can compromise patient safety. Prior work on reinforcement learning for sedation and analgesia has explored how to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Joel Romero-Hernandez , Oscar Camara

Past studies on the ICD coding problem focus on predicting clinical codes primarily based on the discharge summary. This covers only a small fraction of the notes generated during each hospital stay and leaves potential for improving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Clarence Boon Liang Ng , Diogo Santos , Marek Rei