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Many inverse problems in nuclear fusion and high-energy astrophysics research, such as the optimization of tokamak reactor geometries or the inference of black hole parameters from interferometric images, necessitate high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Jonathan Gorard , Ammar Hakim , Hong Qin , Kyle Parfrey , Shantenu Jha

The availability of data sets with large numbers of variables is rapidly increasing. The effective application of Bayesian variable selection methods for regression with these data sets has proved difficult since available Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-08 Jim Griffin , Krys Latuszynski , Mark Steel

In statistical data assimilation (SDA) and supervised machine learning (ML), we wish to transfer information from observations to a model of the processes underlying those observations. For SDA, the model consists of a set of differential…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-22 Zheng Fang , Adrian S. Wong , Kangbo Hao , Alexander J. A. Ty , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Most successful applications of deep learning involve similar training and test conditions. However, tasks such as biological sequence design involve searching for sequences that improve desirable properties beyond previously known values,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Sophia Hager , Aleem Khan , Andrew Wang , Nicholas Andrews

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models arise in numerous applications in statistics and signal processing. In this context, one of the most successful and popular approximation techniques is the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters

Large, sparse linear systems are pervasive in modern science and engineering, and Krylov subspace solvers are an established means of solving them. Yet convergence can be slow for ill-conditioned matrices, so practical deployments usually…

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy

Typical geophysical inversion problems are ill-posed, non-linear and non-unique. Sometimes the problem is trans-dimensional, where the number of unknown parameters is one of the unknowns, which makes the inverse problem even more…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-02-25 Xiaolin Luo

We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

We consider the recently introduced Transformation-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) (Dutta and Bhattacharya (2014)), a methodology that is designed to update all the parameters simultaneously using some simple deterministic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Kushal Kumar Dey , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Sequential state estimation in non-linear and non-Gaussian state spaces has a wide range of applications in statistics and signal processing. One of the most effective non-linear filtering approaches, particle filtering, suffers from weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-01 Yunpeng Li , Soumyasundar Pal , Mark Coates

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

Efficient sampling of many-dimensional and multimodal density functions is a task of great interest in many research fields. We describe an algorithm that allows parallelizing inherently serial Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-10 Vasyl Hafych , Philipp Eller , Oliver Schulz , Allen Caldwell

1. Temporal trends in species distributions are necessary for monitoring changes in biodiversity, which aids policymakers and conservationists in making informed decisions. Dynamic species distribution models are often fitted to ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Kwaku Peprah Adjei , Rob Cooke , Nick Isaac , Robert B. O'Hara

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are indispensable when sampling from a complex, high-dimensional distribution by a conventional method is intractable. Even though MCMC is a powerful tool, it is also hard to control and tune in…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sascha Holl , Gurprit Singh , Hans-Peter Seidel

We present a data augmentation scheme to perform Markov chain Monte Carlo inference for models where data generation involves a rejection sampling algorithm. Our idea, which seems to be missing in the literature, is a simple scheme to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Vinayak Rao , Lizhen Lin , David Dunson

The Pseudo-Marginal (PM) algorithm is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method used to sample from a target distribution when its density is inaccessible, but can be estimated with a non-negative unbiased estimator. Its performance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-30 Sarra Abaoubida , Mylène Bédard , Florian Maire