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A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…
Suppose that we observe $y \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times m}$ in the following errors-in-variables model: \begin{eqnarray*} y & = & X_0 \beta^* +\epsilon \\ X & = & X_0 + W, \end{eqnarray*} where $X_0$ is an $n \times m$…
Machine Learning requires a large amount of training data in order to build accurate models. Sometimes the data arrives over time, requiring significant storage space and recalculating the model to account for the new data. On-line learning…
A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…
Considered here is a hypothesis test for the coefficients in the change-plane regression models to detect the existence of a change plane. The test that is considered is from the class of test problems in which some parameters are not…
While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating…
Bilevel optimization problems arise in many applications where decisions must account for the optimal response of another system, such as in game-theoretic settings. However, these problems are notoriously challenging, as even linear…
In Natural Language Processing (NLP), binary classification algorithms are often evaluated using the F1 score. Because the sample F1 score is an estimate of the population F1 score, it is not sufficient to report the sample F1 score without…
There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse regularization procedures in high-dimensional models. In time series context, it is mostly restricted to Gaussian autoregressions or mixing sequences. We study…
Stepped-wedge cluster randomised trials (SW-CRTs) increasingly evaluate complex interventions, yet methodological guidance for analysing composite endpoints using generalized pairwise comparisons (GPC)remains limited. This work investigates…
We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…
We study the problem of nonparametric instrumental variable regression with observed covariates, which we refer to as NPIV-O. Compared with standard nonparametric instrumental variable regression (NPIV), the additional observed covariates…
We reconsider randomized algorithms for the low-rank approximation of symmetric positive semi-definite (SPSD) matrices such as Laplacian and kernel matrices that arise in data analysis and machine learning applications. Our main results…
The univariate integer-valued time series has been extensively studied, but literature on multivariate integer-valued time series models is quite limited and the complex correlation structure among the multivariate integer-valued time…
Multivariate time series forecasting involves two qualitatively distinct factors: (i) stable within-series autoregressive (AR) dynamics, and (ii) intermittent cross-dimension interactions that can become spurious over long horizons. We…
Nonlinear regression analysis is a popular and important tool for scientists and engineers. In this article, we introduce theories and methods of nonlinear regression and its statistical inferences using the frequentist and Bayesian…
The autocovariance least squares (ALS) method is a computationally efficient approach for estimating noise covariances in Kalman filters without requiring specific noise models. However, conventional ALS and its variants rely on the classic…
Recent work has focused on the very common practice of prediction-based inference: that is, (i) using a pre-trained machine learning model to predict an unobserved response variable, and then (ii) conducting inference on the association…
This paper introduces a popular dimension reduction method, sliced inverse regression (SIR), into multivariate statistical process monitoring. Provides an extension of SIR for the single-index model by adopting the idea from partial least…
We advance the theory of parametric bootstrap in constructing highly efficient empirical best (EB) prediction intervals of small area means. The coverage error of such a prediction interval is of the order $O(m^{-3/2})$, where $m$ is the…