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Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

INTRODUCTION: Wald's, the likelihood ratio (LR) and Rao's score tests and their corresponding confidence intervals (CIs), are the three most common estimators of parameters of Generalized Linear Models. On finite samples, these estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 André Gillibert , Jacques Bénichou , Bruno Falissard

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models offer a versatile framework for multivariate time series analysis, yet face critical challenges from over-parameterization and uncertain lag order. In this paper, we systematically compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Harrison Katz , Robert E. Weiss

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

This paper introduces and analyzes a framework that accommodates general heterogeneity in regression modeling. It demonstrates that regression models with fixed or time-varying parameters can be estimated using the OLS and time-varying OLS…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Liudas Giraitis , George Kapetanios , Yufei Li , Alexia Ventouri

Kernel-based models such as kernel ridge regression and Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning applications for regression and optimization. It is well known that a major downside for kernel-based models is the high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sattar Vakili , Jonathan Scarlett , Da-shan Shiu , Alberto Bernacchia

Ordered Weighted $L_{1}$ (OWL) regularized regression is a new regression analysis for high-dimensional sparse learning. Proximal gradient methods are used as standard approaches to solve OWL regression. However, it is still a burning issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Runxue Bao , Bin Gu , Heng Huang

We study inference on a low-dimensional functional $\beta$ in the presence of infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters. Classical inferential methods are typically based on Wald intervals, whose large-sample validity rests on asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Mengchu Zheng , Matteo Bonvini , Zijian Guo

Time series with non-uniform intervals occur in many applications, and are difficult to model using standard recurrent neural networks (RNNs). We generalize RNNs to have continuous-time hidden dynamics defined by ordinary differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Yulia Rubanova , Ricky T. Q. Chen , David Duvenaud

Deep learning has achieved impressive prediction performance in the field of sequence learning recently. Dissolved oxygen prediction, as a kind of time-series forecasting, is suitable for this technique. Although many researchers have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-22 Hongqian Qin

Many state-of-the-art machine learning models such as deep neural networks have recently shown to be vulnerable to adversarial perturbations, especially in classification tasks. Motivated by adversarial machine learning, in this paper we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-04 Pin-Yu Chen , Bhanukiran Vinzamuri , Sijia Liu

State-level policy evaluations commonly employ a difference-in-differences (DID) study design; yet within this framework, statistical model specification varies notably across studies. Motivated by applied state-level opioid policy…

This article develops the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the model parameters in periodicvector autoregressive time series models (hereafter PVAR) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations. When theinnovations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Eugen Ursu

Gaussian process (GP) regression is widely used for uncertainty quantification, yet the standard formulation assumes noise-free covariates. When inputs are measured with error, this errors-in-variables (EIV) setting can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Hengrui Luo , Xiaoye S. Li , Yang Liu , Marcus Noack , Ji Qiang , Mark D. Risser

In oncological clinical trials, overall survival (OS) is the gold-standard endpoint, but long follow-up and treatment switching can delay or dilute detectable effects. Progression-free survival (PFS) often provides earlier evidence and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Kaspar Rufibach , Jan Beyersmann , René Schmidt

While Remote control over wireless connections is a key enabler for scalable control systems consisting of multiple actuator-sensor pairs, i.e., control systems, it entails two technical challenges. Due to the lack of wireless resources,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Abanoub M. Girgis , Jihong Park , Chen-Feng Liu , Mehdi Bennis

Consider a linear regression model and suppose that our aim is to find a confidence interval for a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. In practice, it is common to perform a Durbin-Watson pretest of the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Paul Kabaila , Samer Alhelli , Davide Farchione , Nathan Bragg

Conditional neural processes (CNPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a) are attractive meta-learning models which produce well-calibrated predictions and are trainable via a simple maximum likelihood procedure. Although CNPs have many advantages, they…

The Inverse-Wishart (IW) distribution is a standard and popular choice of priors for covariance matrices and has attractive properties such as conditional conjugacy. However, the IW family of priors has crucial drawbacks, including the lack…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

Accurate uncertainty quantification is necessary to enhance the reliability of deep learning models in real-world applications. In the case of regression tasks, prediction intervals (PIs) should be provided along with the deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Giorgio Morales , John W. Sheppard