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Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a growing interest in studying epidemiological models. Traditional mechanistic models mathematically describe the transmission mechanisms of infectious diseases. However, they often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Zewen Liu , Guancheng Wan , B. Aditya Prakash , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Locating the source of an epidemic, or patient zero (P0), can provide critical insights into the infection's transmission course and allow efficient resource allocation. Existing methods use graph-theoretic centrality measures and expensive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Chintan Shah , Nima Dehmamy , Nicola Perra , Matteo Chinazzi , Albert-László Barabási , Alessandro Vespignani , Rose Yu

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Graph data, such as chemical networks and social networks, may be deemed confidential/private because the data owner often spends lots of resources collecting the data or the data contains sensitive information, e.g., social relationships.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Xinlei He , Jinyuan Jia , Michael Backes , Neil Zhenqiang Gong , Yang Zhang

Infected individuals in some epidemics can remain asymptomatic while still carrying and transmitting the infection. These individuals contribute to the spread of the epidemic and pose a significant challenge to public health policies.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Conrado Catarcione Pinto , Amanda Camacho Novaes de Oliveira , Rodrigo Sapienza Luna , Daniel Ratton Figueiredo

Network data can be conveniently modeled as a graph signal, where data values are assigned to nodes of a graph that describes the underlying network topology. Successful learning from network data is built upon methods that effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Fernando Gama , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Alejandro Ribeiro

For rapidly spreading diseases where many cases show no symptoms, swift and effective contact tracing is essential. While exposure notification applications provide alerts on potential exposures, a fully automated system is needed to track…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Sofia Hurtado , Radu Marculescu

Graph neural networks (GNN) have shown outstanding applications in many fields where data is fundamentally represented as graphs (e.g., chemistry, biology, recommendation systems). In this vein, communication networks comprise many…

The source detection problem arises when an epidemic process unfolds over a contact network, and the objective is to identify its point of origin, i.e., the source node. Research on this problem began with the seminal work of Shah and Zaman…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Martin Sterchi , Nathan Brack , Lorenz Hilfiker

Real data collected from different applications that have additional topological structures and connection information are amenable to be represented as a weighted graph. Considering the node labeling problem, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Xiaoxiao Li , Joao Saude

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are a popular class of machine learning models whose major advantage is their ability to incorporate a sparse and discrete dependency structure between data points. Unfortunately, GNNs can only be used when such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Luca Franceschi , Mathias Niepert , Massimiliano Pontil , Xiao He

Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

Lots of learning tasks require dealing with graph data which contains rich relation information among elements. Modeling physics systems, learning molecular fingerprints, predicting protein interface, and classifying diseases demand a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Jie Zhou , Ganqu Cui , Shengding Hu , Zhengyan Zhang , Cheng Yang , Zhiyuan Liu , Lifeng Wang , Changcheng Li , Maosong Sun

Vital nodes usually play a key role in complex networks. Uncovering these nodes is an important task in protecting the network, especially when the network suffers intentional attack. Many existing methods have not fully integrated the node…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Huaizhi Liao , Tian Qiu , Guang Chen

Network epidemiology's most important assumption is that the contact structure over which infectious diseases propagate can be represented as a static network. However, contacts are highly dynamic, changing at many time scales. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Petter Holme

Graphs are essential for modeling complex relationships and capturing structured interactions in data. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are particularly effective when such relational structure is explicitly available, but many real-world…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Haozhe Chen , Soheila Farokhi , Kelvyn Bladen , Hamid Karimi , Kevin R. Moon

Recent work has attempted to use whole-genome sequence data from pathogens to reconstruct the transmission trees linking infectors and infectees in outbreaks. However, transmission trees from one outbreak do not generalize to future…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , Tom Britton , M. Elizabeth Halloran , Ira M. Longini

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi
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