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In this paper, we present ECL, a novel multi-modal dataset containing the textual and numerical data from corporate 10K filings and associated binary bankruptcy labels. Furthermore, we develop and critically evaluate several classical and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Henri Arno , Klaas Mulier , Joke Baeck , Thomas Demeester

Most empirical works that study the financing decisions of family businesses use financial ratios. These data present asymmetry, non-normality, non-linearity and even dependence on the results of the choice of which accounting figure goes…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-29 Geòrgia Escaramís , Anna Arbussà

Bankruptcy is a legal procedure that claims a person or organization as a debtor. It is essential to ascertain the risk of bankruptcy at initial stages to prevent financial losses. In this perspective, different soft computing techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Kalyan Nagaraj , Amulyashree Sridhar

In financial field, a robust software system is of vital importance to ensure the smooth operation of financial transactions. However, many financial corporations still depend on operators to identify and eliminate the system failures when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Jingwen Wang , Jingxin Liu , Juntao Pu , Qinghong Yang , Zhongchen Miao , Jian Gao , You Song

Foundation models have shown promise across various financial applications, yet their effectiveness for corporate bankruptcy prediction remains systematically unevaluated against established methods. We study bankruptcy forecasting using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Marcin Kostrzewa , Oleksii Furman , Roman Furman , Sebastian Tomczak , Maciej Zięba

Predicting the exit (e.g. bankrupt, acquisition, etc.) of privately held companies is a current and relevant problem for investment firms. The difficulty of the problem stems from the lack of reliable, quantitative and publicly available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Giuseppe Carlo Calafiore , Marisa Hillary Morales , Vittorio Tiozzo , Serge Marquie

Financial distress prediction remains a significant challenge in enterprise risk analysis due to the highly imbalanced nature of real-world financial datasets, where bankrupt or distressed firms typically constitute only a small minority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Karan Sehgal , Khawar Naveed Bhatti

Methods of deep learning have become increasingly popular in recent years, but they have not arrived in compositional data analysis. Imputation methods for compositional data are typically applied on additive, centered or isometric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Matthias Templ

Models for bankruptcy prediction are useful in several real-world scenarios, and multiple research contributions have been devoted to the task, based on structured (numerical) as well as unstructured (textual) data. However, the lack of a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Henri Arno , Klaas Mulier , Joke Baeck , Thomas Demeester

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti

Compositional data sets are ubiquitous in science, including geology, ecology, and microbiology. In microbiome research, compositional data primarily arise from high-throughput sequence-based profiling experiments. These data comprise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Patrick L. Combettes , Christian L. Müller

In the modern financial sector, the exponential growth of data has made efficient and accurate financial data analysis increasingly crucial. Traditional methods, such as statistical analysis and rule-based systems, often struggle to process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Jingru Wang , Wen Ding , Xiaotong Zhu

A regression method for proportional, or fractional, data with mixed effects is outlined, designed for analysis of datasets in which the outcomes have substantial weight at the bounds. In such cases a normal approximation is particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Colman Humphrey , Dan Swingley

Bankruptcy prediction is very important for all the organization since it affects the economy and rise many social problems with high costs. There are large number of techniques have been developed to predict the bankruptcy, which helps the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-11 A. Martin , V. Gayathri , G. Saranya , P. Gayathri , Prasanna Venkatesan

In current applied research the most-used route to an analysis of composition is through log-ratios -- that is, contrasts among log-transformed measurements. Here we argue instead for a more direct approach, using a statistical model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 David Firth , Fiona Sammut

In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-14 Lili Zhang , Jennifer Priestley , Xuelei Ni

Statistical analysis on compositional data has gained a lot of attention due to their great potential of applications. A feature of these data is that they are multivariate vectors that lie in the simplex, that is, the components of each…

NLP models have progressed drastically in recent years, according to numerous datasets proposed to evaluate performance. Questions remain, however, about how particular dataset design choices may impact the conclusions we draw about model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Kaiser Sun , Adina Williams , Dieuwke Hupkes

Traditional methods for the analysis of compositional data consider the log-ratios between all different pairs of variables with equal weight, typically in the form of aggregated contributions. This is not meaningful in contexts where it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christopher Rieser , Peter Filzmoser

We introduce a binary regression accounting-based model for bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The main advantage of the model lies in its predictive performance in identifying defaulted SMEs. Another advantage,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-11 Raffaella Calabrese , Giampiero Marra , Silvia Angela Osmetti