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This paper develops a first-stage linear regression representation for the instrumental variables (IV) quantile regression (QR) model. The quantile first-stage is analogous to the least squares case, i.e., a linear projection of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-22 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

Aiming to estimate extreme precipitation forecast quantiles, we propose a nonparametric regression model that features a constant extreme value index. Using local linear quantile regression and an extrapolation technique from extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed , Maurice Schmeits

Machine learning is vital in high-stakes domains, yet conventional validation methods rely on averaging metrics like mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE), which fail to quantify extreme errors. Worst-case prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Umberto Michelucci , Francesca Venturini

A new multivariate integer-valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic process based on a multivariate Poisson generalized inverse Gaussian distribution is proposed. The estimation of parameters of the proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yuhyeong Jang , Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

Quantile Regression (QR) can be used to estimate aleatoric uncertainty in deep neural networks and can generate prediction intervals. Quantifying uncertainty is particularly important in critical applications such as clinical diagnosis,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Haleh Akrami , Omar Zamzam , Anand Joshi , Sergul Aydore , Richard Leahy

We consider a simple approach for approximating detailed information about the conditional distribution of a real-valued response variable, given values for its covariates, using only the outputs from a standard regression model. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 David P. Hofmeyr

We consider the problem of sparse estimation in a factor analysis model. A traditional estimation procedure in use is the following two-step approach: the model is estimated by maximum likelihood method and then a rotation technique is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-18 Kei Hirose , Michio Yamamoto

We consider the problem of conformal prediction under covariate shift. Given labeled data from a source domain and unlabeled data from a covariate shifted target domain, we seek to construct prediction sets with valid marginal coverage in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Sunay Joshi , Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Edgar Dobriban , Hamed Hassani

We propose a penalized method for the least squares estimator of a multivariate concave regression function. This estimator is formulated as a quadratic programming (QP) problem with $O(n^2)$ constraints, where n is the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-16 Abolfazl Keshvari

Linear Regression is a seminal technique in statistics and machine learning, where the objective is to build linear predictive models between a response (i.e., dependent) variable and one or more predictor (i.e., independent) variables. In…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Suraj Shetiya , Shohedul Hasan , Abolfazl Asudeh , Gautam Das

Spatial prediction is commonly achieved under the assumption of a Gaussian random field (GRF) by obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of parameters, and then using the kriging equations to arrive at predicted values. For massive datasets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Karl T. Pazdernik , Ranjan Maitra

In this article, we consider the problem of reconstructing networks for continuous, binary, count and discrete ordinal variables by estimating sparse precision matrix in Gaussian copula graphical models. We propose two approaches: $\ell_1$…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-22 Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst Wit

The emergence of Quantum Machine Learning (QML) to enhance traditional classical learning methods has seen various limitations to its realisation. There is therefore an imperative to develop quantum models with unique model hypotheses to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-02-21 Maiyuren Srikumar , Charles D. Hill , Lloyd C. L. Hollenberg

Scaling reinforcement learning (RL) to recommender systems (RS) is promising since maximizing the expected cumulative rewards for RL agents meets the objective of RS, i.e., improving customers' long-term satisfaction. A key approach to this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Chengqian Gao , Ke Xu , Kuangqi Zhou , Lanqing Li , Xueqian Wang , Bo Yuan , Peilin Zhao

The VQE algorithm has turned out to be quite expensive to run given the way we currently access quantum processors (i.e. over the cloud). In order to alleviate this issue, we introduce Quantum Sampling Regression (QSR), an alternative…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-07 Pedro Rivero , Ian C. Cloët , Zack Sullivan

Parameter estimation in logistic regression is a well-studied problem with the Newton-Raphson method being one of the most prominent optimization techniques used in practice. A number of monotone optimization methods including…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-11 Nicholas C. Henderson , Zhongzhe Ouyang

We propose a sequential design method aiming at the estimation of an extreme quantile based on a sample of dichotomic data corresponding to peaks over a given threshold. This study is motivated by an industrial challenge in material…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-06 Michel Broniatowski , Emilie Miranda

This work has been motivated by the challenge of the 2017 conference on Extreme-Value Analysis (EVA2017), with the goal of predicting daily precipitation quantiles at the $99.8\%$ level for each month at observed and unobserved locations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser , Haakon Bakka , Håvard Rue

Ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are ubiquitous in various fields, from finance to genomics. Despite their prevalence, the question of the efficient tuning of ensemble parameters has received relatively little attention.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil , Kathryn Roeder , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper, we propose the Graph-Fused Multivariate Regression (GFMR) via Total Variation regularization, a novel method for estimating the association between a one-dimensional or multidimensional array outcome and scalar predictors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-15 Ying Liu , Bowei Yan , Kathleen Merikangas , Haochang Shou