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This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

We consider issues of time in automated trading strategies in simulated financial markets containing a single exchange with public limit order book and continuous double auction matching. In particular, we explore two effects: (i) reaction…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Henry Hanifan , Ben Watson , John Cartlidge , Dave Cliff

Market making (MM) is an important research topic in quantitative finance, the agent needs to continuously optimize ask and bid quotes to provide liquidity and make profits. The limit order book (LOB) contains information on all active…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-26 Hong Guo , Jianwu Lin , Fanlin Huang

Managing the prediction of metrics in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task. An efficient way is by monitoring the dynamics of a limit order book to identify the information edge. This paper describes the first publicly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Adamantios Ntakaris , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Devising models of the limit order book that realistically reproduce the market response to exogenous trades is extremely challenging and fundamental in order to test trading strategies. We propose a novel explainable model for small tick…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Adele Ravagnani , Fabrizio Lillo

We present an agent based model of a single asset financial market that is capable of replicating several non-trivial statistical properties observed in real financial markets, generically referred to as stylized facts. While previous…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Roberto Mota Navarro , Hernán Larralde Ridaura

In this paper we study simulation based optimization algorithms for solving discrete time optimal stopping problems. This type of algorithms became popular among practioneers working in the area of quantitative finance. Using large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-09-22 Denis Belomestny

We study a microscopic limit order book model, in which the order dynamics depend on the current best bid and ask price and the current volume density functions, simultaneously, and derive its macroscopic high-frequency dynamics. As opposed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Dörte Kreher , Cassandra Milbradt

In this paper, we describe a novel agent-based approach for modelling the transaction cost of buying or selling an asset in financial markets, e.g., to liquidate a large position as a result of a margin call to meet financial obligations.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-22 Perukrishnen Vytelingum , Rory Baggott , Namid Stillman , Jianfei Zhang , Dingqiu Zhu , Tao Chen , Justin Lyon

The estimation of fill probabilities for trade orders represents a key ingredient in the optimization of algorithmic trading strategies. It is bound by the complex dynamics of financial markets with inherent uncertainties, and the…

We develop a risk-neutral spot and equity option market simulator for a single underlying, under which the joint market process is a martingale. We leverage an efficient low-dimensional representation of the market which preserves no static…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-01 Magnus Wiese , Phillip Murray

We study opportunistic optimal liquidation over fixed deadlines on BTC-USD limit-order books (LOB). We present RL-Exec, a PPO agent trained on historical replays augmented with endogenous transient impact (resilience), partial fills,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-12 Enzo Duflot , Stanislas Robineau

The paper presents a simulation on automotive inventory and stock issue, followed by evaluated performance of automotif Sector Company, focused on getting optimum profit from supply and demand balancing. Starting by evaluating and…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-04-03 Heru Susanto , Mohammad Nabil Almunawar , Mehmet Sabih Aksoy , Yong Chee Tuan

We derive a continuous time model for the joint evolution of the mid price and the bid-ask spread from a multiscale analysis of the whole limit order book (LOB) dynamics. We model the LOB as a multiclass queueing system and perform our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

In previous work, we proposed a method for leveraging efficient classical simulation algorithms to aid in the analysis of large-scale fault tolerant circuits implemented on hypothetical quantum information processors. Here, we extend those…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-02-12 Daniel Puzzuoli , Christopher Granade , Holger Haas , Ben Criger , Easwar Magesan , D. G. Cory

A deterministic trading strategy by a representative investor on a single market asset, which generates complex and realistic returns with its first four moments similar to the empirical values of European stock indices, is used to simulate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Philip Maymin

Within the mathematical finance literature there is a rich catalogue of mathematical models for studying algorithmic trading problems -- such as market-making and optimal execution -- in limit order books. This paper introduces \mbtgym, a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Joseph Jerome , Leandro Sanchez-Betancourt , Rahul Savani , Martin Herdegen

This study pioneers the application of the market microstructure framework to an informal financial market. By scraping data from websites and social media about the Cuban informal currency market, we model the dynamics of bid/ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Alejandro García Figal , Alejandro Lage Castellanos , Roberto Mulet

We distinguished between the expected and actual profit of a firm. We proposed that, beyond maximizing profit, a firm's goal also encompasses minimizing the gap between expected and actual profit. Firms strive to enhance their capability to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-01 Da Xie , WeiGuo Yang

Investors and regulators can greatly benefit from a realistic market simulator that enables them to anticipate the consequences of their decisions in real markets. However, traditional rule-based market simulators often fall short in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-01 Zhiyuan Yao , Zheng Li , Matthew Thomas , Ionut Florescu
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