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We provide sufficient conditions for semi-nonparametric point identification of a mixture model of decision making under risk, when agents make choices in multiple lines of insurance coverage (contexts) by purchasing a bundle. As a first…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-19 Levon Barseghyan , Francesca Molinari

We study the design of functional incentive mechanisms for dynamical systems, in which a leader designs a fixed incentive function to motivate a self-interested follower to actuate the system beneficially over an extended horizon, without…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Jonas G. Matt , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler

This memoir presents a systematic study of the utility maximization problem of an investor in a constrained and unbounded financial market. Building upon the work of Hu et al. (2005) [Ann. Appl. Probab., 15, 1691--1712] in a bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Ying Hu , Gechun Liang , Shanjian Tang

The purpose of this paper relies on the study of long term yield curves modeling. Inspired by the economic litterature, it provides a financial interpretation of the Ramsey rule that links discount rate and marginal utility of aggregate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-08 Nicole El Karoui , Caroline Hillairet , Mohamed Mrad

We consider the free additive convolution $\mu_\alpha\boxplus\mu_\beta$ of two probability measures $\mu_\alpha$ and $\mu_\beta$, supported on respectively $n_\alpha$ and $n_\beta$ disjoint bounded intervals on the real line, and derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Philippe Moreillon , Kevin Schnelli

This paper addresses the problem of utility maximization under uncertain parameters. In contrast with the classical approach, where the parameters of the model evolve freely within a given range, we constrain them via a penalty function. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Ivan Guo , Nicolas Langrené , Grégoire Loeper , Wei Ning

We propose a new sequential Efficient Pseudo-Likelihood (k-EPL) estimator for dynamic discrete choice games of incomplete information. k-EPL considers the joint behavior of multiple players simultaneously, as opposed to individual responses…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-23 Adam Dearing , Jason R. Blevins

We study constrained versions of the Ingleton inequality in the entropic setting and quantify its stability under small violations of conditional independence. Although the classical Ingleton inequality fails for general entropy profiles,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Rostislav Matveev , Andrei Romashchenko

We study a multi-leader single-follower congestion game where multiple users (leaders) choose one resource out of a set of resources and, after observing the realized loads, an adversary (single-follower) attacks the resources with maximum…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Tobias Harks , Mona Henle , Max Klimm , Jannik Matuschke , Anja Schedel

In this paper, we consider the gradual-impulse control problem of continuous-time Markov decision processes, where the system performance is measured by the expectation of the exponential utility of the total cost. We prove, under very…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Xin Guo , Aiko Kurushima , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

In this work, we revisit the problem of active sequential prediction-powered mean estimation, where at each round one must decide the query probability of the ground-truth label upon observing the covariates of a sample. Furthermore, if the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Maria-Eleni Sfyraki , Jun-Kun Wang

We give explicit solutions for utility maximization of terminal wealth problem $u(X_T)$ in the presence of Knightian uncertainty in continuous time $[0,T]$ in a complete market. We assume there is uncertainty on both drift and volatility of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-13 Kerem Ugurlu

Standard decision theory seeks conditions under which a preference relation can be compressed into a single real-valued function. However, when preferences are incomplete or intransitive, a single function fails to capture the agent's…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-05 Safal Raman Aryal

We initiate a novel direction in randomized social choice by proposing a new definition of agent utility for randomized outcomes. Each agent has a preference over all outcomes and a {\em quantile} parameter. Given a {\em lottery} over the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Ioannis Caragiannis , Fabian Frank , Sanjukta Roy

Shafer's theory of belief and the Bayesian theory of probability are two alternative and mutually inconsistent approaches toward modelling uncertainty in artificial intelligence. To help reduce the conflict between these two approaches,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Robert F. Bordley

We revisit the setting of fair allocation of indivisible items among agents with heterogeneous, non-monotone valuations. We explore the existence and efficient computation of allocations that approximately satisfy either envy-freeness or…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Vittorio Bilò , Martin Loebl , Cosimo Vinci

We study the sequential testing problem of two alternative hypotheses regarding an unknown parameter in an exponential family when observations are costly. In a Bayesian setting, the problem can be embedded in a Markovian framework. Using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Erik Ekström , Yuqiong Wang

Inertial manifold theory, saddle point property and exponential dichotomy have been treated as different topics in the literature with different proofs. As a common feature, they all have the purpose of `splitting' the space to understand…

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

This paper axiomatizes, in a two-stage setup, a new theory for decision under risk and ambiguity. The axiomatized preference relation $\succeq$ on the space $\tilde{V}$ of random variables induces an ambiguity index $c$ on the space…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Roger J. A. Laeven , Mitja Stadje
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