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Generative probabilistic forecasting produces future time series samples according to the conditional probability distribution given past time series observations. Such techniques are essential in risk-based decision-making and planning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Xinyi Wang , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Accurate demand forecasts can help on-line retail organizations better plan their supply-chain processes. The challenge, however, is the large number of associative factors that result in large, non-stationary shifts in demand, which…

Assortment optimization is an important problem that arises in many industries such as retailing and online advertising where the goal is to find a subset of products from a universe of substitutable products which maximize seller's…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-12-15 Kumar Goutam , Vineet Goyal , Agathe Soret

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in data mining, driving rapid advancements across numerous industries. With the emergence of large models, time series foundation models (TSFMs) have exhibited remarkable generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Huanyu Zhang , Chang Xu , Yi-Fan Zhang , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Jiang Bian , Tieniu Tan

We develop pre-trained estimators for structural econometric models. The estimator uses a neural net to recognize the structural model's parameter from data patterns. Once trained, the estimator can be shared and applied to different…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Yanhao 'Max' Wei , Zhenling Jiang

Generative recommendation has emerged as a promising paradigm that formulates the recommendations into a text-to-text generation task, harnessing the vast knowledge of large language models. However, existing studies focus on considering…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Sunkyung Lee , Seongmin Park , Jonghyo Kim , Mincheol Yoon , Jongwuk Lee

Pre-training on graph neural networks (GNNs) aims to learn transferable knowledge for downstream tasks with unlabeled data, and it has recently become an active research area. The success of graph pre-training models is often attributed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Jiarong Xu , Renhong Huang , Xin Jiang , Yuxuan Cao , Carl Yang , Chunping Wang , Yang Yang

Data-driven modeling is an approach in energy systems modeling that has been gaining popularity. In data-driven modeling, machine learning methods such as linear regression, neural networks or decision-tree based methods are being applied.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Sandra Wilfling

Data augmentation is a key regularization method to support the forecast and classification performance of highly parameterized models in computer vision. In the time series domain however, regularization in terms of augmentation is not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Justin Hellermann , Qinzhuan Qian , Ankit Shah

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Accurate exploration of protein conformational ensembles is essential for uncovering function but remains hard because molecular-dynamics (MD) simulations suffer from high computational costs and energy-barrier trapping. This paper presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Yuancheng Sun , Yuxuan Ren , Zhaoming Chen , Xu Han , Kang Liu , Qiwei Ye

Graph attention networks (GATs) provide one of the best frameworks for learning node representations in relational data; but, existing variants such as Graph Attention Network (GAT) mainly operate on static graphs and rely on implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Ami Chopra , Supriya Bordoloi , Shyamanta M. Hazarika

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Accurate time series forecasting models are often compromised by data drift, where underlying data distributions change over time, leading to significant declines in prediction performance. To address this challenge, this study proposes an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Nikhil Pawar , Guilherme Vieira Hollweg , Akhtar Hussain , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

A challenging category of robotics problems arises when sensing incurs substantial costs. This paper examines settings in which a robot wishes to limit its observations of state, for instance, motivated by specific considerations of energy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Patrick Zhong , Federico Rossi , Dylan A. Shell

Reward modeling is central to alignment pipelines such as RLHF, RLAIF, and PPO-based policy optimization, yet its reliability is constrained by limited and heterogeneous human preference data that are expensive to collect at scale. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Payel Bhattacharjee , Osvaldo Simeone , Ravi Tandon

Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

The realm of algorithms with predictions has led to the development of several new algorithms that leverage (potentially erroneous) predictions to enhance their performance guarantees. The challenge is to devise algorithms that achieve…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Riccardo Colini-Baldeschi , Sophie Klumper , Guido Schäfer , Artem Tsikiridis

The ability to uncover preferences from choices is fundamental for both positive economics and welfare analysis. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm…

General Economics · Economics 2018-11-07 Carlos Alos-Ferrer , Ernst Fehr , Nick Netzer

Pseudo-rehearsal allows neural networks to learn a sequence of tasks without forgetting how to perform in earlier tasks. Preventing forgetting is achieved by introducing a generative network which can produce data from previously seen tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Craig Atkinson , Brendan McCane , Lech Szymanski , Anthony Robins
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