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In this paper, we study distributional reinforcement learning from the perspective of statistical efficiency. We investigate distributional policy evaluation, aiming to estimate the complete return distribution (denoted $\eta^\pi$) attained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Liangyu Zhang , Yang Peng , Jiadong Liang , Wenhao Yang , Zhihua Zhang

The Delta Conjecture of Haglund, Remmel, and Wilson is a recent generalization of the Shuffle Conjecture in the field of diagonal harmonics. In this paper we give evidence for the Delta Conjecture by proving a pair of conjectures of Wilson…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Brendon Rhoades

We prove several general formulas for the distributions of various permutation statistics over any set of permutations whose quasisymmetric generating function is a symmetric function. Our formulas involve certain kinds of plethystic…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Ira M. Gessel , Yan Zhuang

Resetting plays a pivotal role in optimizing the completion time of complex first passage processes with single or multiple outcomes/exit possibilities. While it is well established that the coefficient of variation -- a statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-10 Suvam Pal , Leonardo Dagdug , Dibakar Ghosh , Denis Boyer , Arnab Pal

There are $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables $I_{k}$ with parameters $p_{k}$ that are observed sequentially. We consider a generalization of the Last-Success-Problem considering $w_{k}$ positive payments if the player successfully…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Jose Maria Grau ribas

This paper deals with a class of Boltzmann equations on the real line, extensions of the well-known Kac caricature. A distinguishing feature of the corresponding equations is that therein, the collision gain operators are defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-22 Federico Bassetti , Lucia Ladelli

A ballot permutation is a permutation $\pi$ such that in any prefix of $\pi$ the descent number is not more than the ascent number. By using a reversal concatenation map, we give a formula for the joint distribution (pk, des) of the peak…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-09-16 David G. L. Wang , T. Zhao

One of the major problems for maximum likelihood estimation in the well-established directional models is that the normalising constants can be difficult to evaluate. A new general method of "score matching estimation" is presented here on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-29 Kanti V Mardia , John T Kent , Arnab K Laha

We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with uncertainty sets consisting of high-dimensional random vectors that are close in the multivariate Wasserstein distance to a reference random vector. We give conditions when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Brandon Tam , Silvana M. Pesenti

This paper is concerned with the inverse random source problem for a stochastic time fractional diffusion equation, where the source is assumed to be driven by a Gaussian random field. The direct problem is shown to be well-posed by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Yuxuan Gong , Peijun Li , Xu Wang , Xiang Xu

Flow Matching, a promising approach in generative modeling, has recently gained popularity. Relying on ordinary differential equations, it offers a simple and flexible alternative to diffusion models, which are currently the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Lea Kunkel

Probabilistic graphical models are a key tool in machine learning applications. Computing the partition function, i.e., normalizing constant, is a fundamental task of statistical inference but it is generally computationally intractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Sungsoo Ahn , Michael Chertkov , Adrian Weller , Jinwoo Shin

De Finetti's theorem, also called the de Finetti-Hewitt-Savage theorem, is a foundational result in probability and statistics. Roughly, it says that an infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables can always be written as a mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We study the problem of explaining observations about the probabilities of events, such as "it rains $20\%$ of the time", "rain and snow are equally likely", etc. We explain these statements with a probability distribution or a statement…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Tommaso Flaminio , Katsumi Inoue , Daniil Kozhemiachenko

We study the stochastic thermodynamics of resetting systems. Violation of microreversibility means that the well known derivations of fluctuations theorems break down for dynamics with resetting. Despite that we show that stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-27 Arnab Pal , Saar Rahav

We give two simple proofs of a conjecture of Richard Stanley concerning the equidistribution of derangements and alternating permutations with the maximal number of fixed points.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Chapman , Lauren K. Williams

Finite heat reservoir capacity and temperature fluctuations lead to modification of the well known canonical exponential weight factor. Requiring that the corrections least depend on the one-particle energy, we derive a deformed entropy,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-20 T. S. Biro , G. G. Barnafoldi , P. Van

Keating and Snaith modeled the Riemann zeta-function \zeta(s) by characteristic polynomials of random NxN unitary matrices, and used this to conjecture the asymptotic main term for the 2k-th moment of \zeta(1/2+it) when k>-1/2. However, an…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-21 H. M. Bui , Steven M. Gonek , Micah B. Milinovich

We review some probabilistic properties of the sum-of-digits function of random integers. New asymptotic approximations to the total variation distance and its refinements are also derived. Four different approaches are used: a classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Louis H. Y. Chen , Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Vytas Zacharovas

Recent work of Shareshian and Wachs, Brosnan and Chow, and Guay-Paquet connects the well-known Stanley-Stembridge conjecture in combinatorics to the dot action of the symmetric group $S_n$ on the cohomology rings $H^*(Hess(S,h))$ of regular…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Megumi Harada , Martha Precup , Julianna Tymoczko