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Formulating real-world optimization problems often begins with making predictions from historical data (e.g., an optimizer that aims to recommend fast routes relies upon travel-time predictions). Typically, learning the prediction model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Chris Cameron , Jason Hartford , Taylor Lundy , Kevin Leyton-Brown

We study a class of multi-stage stochastic programs, which incorporate modeling features from Markov decision processes (MDPs). This class includes structured MDPs with continuous action and state spaces. We extend policy graphs to include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 David P. Morton , Oscar Dowson , Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli

Model-based reinforcement learning approaches carry the promise of being data efficient. However, due to challenges in learning dynamics models that sufficiently match the real-world dynamics, they struggle to achieve the same asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Ignasi Clavera , Jonas Rothfuss , John Schulman , Yasuhiro Fujita , Tamim Asfour , Pieter Abbeel

Chaotic dynamical systems exhibit strong sensitivity to initial conditions and often contain unresolved multiscale processes, making deterministic forecasting fundamentally limited. Generative models offer an appealing alternative by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Patrick Wyrod , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Daniele Venturi

One approach for feedback control using high dimensional and rich sensor measurements is to classify the measurement into one out of a finite set of situations, each situation corresponding to a (known) control action. This approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Hasan A. Poonawala , Niklas Lauffer , Ufuk Topcu

Predicting the outcome of liquid droplet collisions is an extensively studied phenomenon but the current physics based models for predicting the outcomes are poor (accuracy $\approx 43\%$). The key weakness of these models is their limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Arpit Agarwal

Learned time-series models, whether continuous or discrete, are widely used for forecasting the states of dynamical systems but suffer from error accumulation in multi-step forecasts. To address this issue, we propose a Predictor-Corrector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Muhammad Bilal Shahid , Zhanhong Jiang , Prajwal Koirala , Soumik Sarkar , Cody Fleming

One major issue in learning-based model predictive control (MPC) for autonomous driving is the contradiction between the system model's prediction accuracy and computation efficiency. The more situations a system model covers, the more…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Kang Zhao , Jianru Xue , Xiangning Meng , Gengxin Li , Mengsen Wu

Despite continued efforts to improve classification accuracy, it has been reported that offline accuracy is a poor indicator of the usability of pattern recognition-based myoelectric control. One potential source of this disparity is the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-15 Shriram Tallam Puranam Raghu , Dawn T. MacIsaac , Erik J. Scheme

Linear trajectory models provide mathematical advantages to autonomous driving applications such as motion prediction. However, linear models' expressive power and bias for real-world trajectories have not been thoroughly analyzed. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Yue Yao , Daniel Goehring , Joerg Reichardt

Non-linear dynamical systems represent a compact, flexible, and robust tool for reactive motion generation. The effectiveness of dynamical systems relies on their ability to accurately represent stable motions. Several approaches have been…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Matteo Saveriano

Encouraged by decision makers' appetite for future information on topics ranging from elections to pandemics, and enabled by the explosion of data and computational methods, model based forecasts have garnered increasing influence on a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-22 Carl Boettiger

In trajectory forecasting tasks for traffic, future output trajectories can be computed by advancing the ego vehicle's state with predicted actions according to a kinematics model. By unrolling predicted trajectories via time integration…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Laura Zheng , Sanghyun Son , Jing Liang , Xijun Wang , Brian Clipp , Ming C. Lin

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan

Widespread deployment of societal-scale machine learning systems necessitates a thorough understanding of the resulting long-term effects these systems have on their environment, including loss of trustworthiness, bias amplification, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Andrey Veprikov , Alexander Afanasiev , Anton Khritankov

Time series prediction with neural networks has been the focus of much research in the past few decades. Given the recent deep learning revolution, there has been much attention in using deep learning models for time series prediction, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Rohitash Chandra , Shaurya Goyal , Rishabh Gupta

Given an unknown dynamical system, what is the minimum number of samples needed for effective learning of its governing laws and accurate prediction of its future evolution behavior, and how to select these critical samples? In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Ce Zhang , Kailiang Wu , Zhihai He

Supporting student success requires collaboration among multiple stakeholders. Researchers have explored machine learning models for academic performance prediction; yet key challenges remain in ensuring these models are interpretable,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Han Zhang , Yiyi Ren , Paula S. Nurius , Jennifer Mankoff , Anind K. Dey

Evaluating predictive models is a crucial task in predictive analytics. This process is especially challenging with time series data where the observations show temporal dependencies. Several studies have analysed how different performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-14 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu