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Current trajectory prediction models are primarily trained in an open-loop manner, which often leads to covariate shift and compounding errors when deployed in real-world, closed-loop settings. Furthermore, relying on static datasets or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Harsh Yadav , Tobias Meisen

In automated driving, predicting trajectories of surrounding vehicles supports reasoning about scene dynamics and enables safe planning for the ego vehicle. However, existing models handle predictions as an instantaneous task of forecasting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Steffen Hagedorn , Aron Distelzweig , Marcel Hallgarten , Alexandru P. Condurache

The growing prevalence of drift and shocks in modern decision environments exposes a gap between classical optimization theory and real-world practice. Standard models assume fixed objectives, yet organizations from hospitals to power grids…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 JINHO CHA

Closed-loop driving simulation requires real-time interaction beyond short offline clips, pushing current driving world models toward autoregressive (AR) rollout. Existing AR distillation approaches typically rely on frame sinks or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Conglang Zhang , Yifan Zhan , Qingjie Wang , Zhanpeng Ouyang , Yu Li , Zihao Yang , Xiaoyang Guo , Weiqiang Ren , Qian Zhang , Zhen Dong , Yinqiang Zheng , Wei Yin , Zhengqing Chen

Generating safe and reliable trajectories for autonomous vehicles in long-tail scenarios remains a significant challenge, particularly for high-lateral-acceleration maneuvers such as sharp turns, which represent critical safety situations.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Xuemei Yao , Xiao Yang , Jianbin Sun , Liuwei Xie , Xuebin Shao , Xiyu Fang , Hang Su , Kewei Yang

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

We consider online forecasting problems for non-convex machine learning models. Forecasting introduces several challenges such as (i) frequent updates are necessary to deal with concept drift issues since the dynamics of the environment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 Sergul Aydore , Tianhao Zhu , Dean Foster

Policy design in non-stationary Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) is inherently challenging due to the complexities introduced by time-varying system transition and reward, which make it difficult for learners to determine the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ziyi Zhang , Yorie Nakahira , Guannan Qu

As autonomous driving technology matures, safety and robustness of its key components, including trajectory prediction, is vital. Though real-world datasets, such as Waymo Open Motion, provide realistic recorded scenarios for model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Benjamin Stoler , Ingrid Navarro , Meghdeep Jana , Soonmin Hwang , Jonathan Francis , Jean Oh

Robot decision-making increasingly relies on data-driven human prediction models when operating around people. While these models are known to mispredict in out-of-distribution interactions, only a subset of prediction errors impact…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Kensuke Nakamura , Ran Tian , Andrea Bajcsy

When learning from streaming data, a change in the data distribution, also known as concept drift, can render a previously-learned model inaccurate and require training a new model. We present an adaptive learning algorithm that extends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ashraf Tahmasbi , Ellango Jothimurugesan , Srikanta Tirthapura , Phillip B. Gibbons

We propose Drift-Resistant Navigation World Model, a generative model that mitigates both perceptual drift and geometric drift in conventional rollout-based navigation world models. Existing methods recursively feed generated content into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Po-Chien Luan , Zimin Xia , Wuyang Li , Yang Gao , Alexandre Alahi

Accurate time series forecasting models are often compromised by data drift, where underlying data distributions change over time, leading to significant declines in prediction performance. To address this challenge, this study proposes an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Nikhil Pawar , Guilherme Vieira Hollweg , Akhtar Hussain , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

The diffusion model has shown success in generating high-quality and diverse solutions to trajectory optimization problems. However, diffusion models with neural networks inevitably make prediction errors, which leads to constraint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Anjian Li , Zihan Ding , Adji Bousso Dieng , Ryne Beeson

Drifting, characterized by controlled vehicle motion at high sideslip angles, is crucial for safely handling emergency scenarios at the friction limits. While recent reinforcement learning approaches show promise for drifting control, they…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yihan Zhou , Yiwen Lu , Bo Yang , Jiayun Li , Yilin Mo

Trajectory generation for mobile robots in unstructured environments faces a critical dilemma: balancing kinematic smoothness for safe execution with terminal precision for fine-grained tasks. Existing generative planners often struggle…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jinyang Zhao , Handong Zheng , Yanjiu Zhong , Qiang Zhang , Yu Kang , Shunyu Wu

We address the problem of simultaneously learning and control in an online receding horizon control setting. We consider the control of an unknown linear dynamical system with general cost functions and affine constraints on the control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-02 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Pramod P. Khargonekar

Reinforcement learning for training end-to-end autonomous driving models in closed-loop simulations is gaining growing attention. However, most simulation environments differ significantly from real-world conditions, creating a substantial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Chaojun Ni , Guosheng Zhao , Xiaofeng Wang , Zheng Zhu , Wenkang Qin , Xinze Chen , Guanghong Jia , Guan Huang , Wenjun Mei

A reflex is a simple closed loop control approach which tries to minimise an error but fails to do so because it will always react too late. An adaptive algorithm can use this error to learn a forward model with the help of predictive cues.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Sama Daryanavard , Bernd Porr

An accurate vehicle dynamic model is the key to bridge the gap between simulation and real road test in autonomous driving. In this paper, we present a Dynamic model-Residual correction model Framework (DRF) for vehicle dynamic modeling. On…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Shu Jiang , Yu Wang , Longtao Lin , Weiman Lin , Yu Cao , Jinghao Miao , Qi Luo
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