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Modelling the behaviour of highly nonlinear dynamical systems with robust uncertainty quantification is a challenging task which typically requires approaches specifically designed to address the problem at hand. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Identifying latent representations or causal structures is important for good generalization and downstream task performance. However, both fields have been developed rather independently. We observe that several methods in both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Patrik Reizinger , Siyuan Guo , Ferenc Huszár , Bernhard Schölkopf , Wieland Brendel

This paper establishes fundamental results for statistical inference of diagnostic classification models (DCM). The results are developed at a high level of generality, applicable to essentially all diagnostic classification models. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Guanhua Fang , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

This paper presents a data-driven algorithm for simultaneous system identification and parameter estimation in control-affine nonlinear systems. Parameter estimation is achieved by training a data-driven predictive model using state-action…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Moad Abudia , Opeyemi Owolabi , Joel A. Rosenfeld , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Causal representation learning (CRL) seeks to uncover meaningful latent variables and their corresponding causal structure from high-dimensional observational data. Although its significance, CRL identifiability remains a crucial property,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Manal Benhamza , Marianne Clausel , Myriam Tami

This thesis develops methods for causal inference and causal representation learning (CRL) in high-dimensional, time-varying data. The first contribution introduces the Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (CDVAE), a model for estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Mouad EL Bouchattaoui

We provide a method to identify system parameters of dynamical systems, called ID-ODE -- Inference by Differentiation and Observing Delay Embeddings. In this setting, we are given a dataset of trajectories from a dynamical system with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Alex Tong Lin , Adrian S. Wong , Robert Martin , Stanley J. Osher , Daniel Eckhardt

Learning a dynamical system from input/output data is a fundamental task in the control design pipeline. In the partially observed setting there are two components to identification: parameter estimation to learn the Markov parameters, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Han Wang , James Anderson

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a popular data-driven framework to extract linear dynamics from complex high-dimensional systems. In this work, we study the system identification properties of DMD. We first show that DMD is invariant…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Jan Heiland , Benjamin Unger

Probabilistic modeling is one of the foundations of modern machine learning and artificial intelligence. In this paper, we propose a novel type of probabilistic models named latent dependency forest models (LDFMs). A LDFM models the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Shanbo Chu , Yong Jiang , Kewei Tu

Latent variable models have become instrumental in computational neuroscience for reasoning about neural computation. This has fostered the development of powerful offline algorithms for extracting latent neural trajectories from neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-22 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Identifiability is a necessary condition for successful parameter estimation of dynamic system models. A major component of identifiability analysis is determining the identifiable parameter combinations, the functional forms for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-07 Marisa C. Eisenberg , Michael A. L. Hayashi

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan

Based on the Fundamental Lemma by Willems et al., the entire behaviour of a Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system can be characterised by a single data sequence of the system as long the input is persistently exciting. This is an essential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-02 Chris Verhoek , Roland Tóth , Sofie Haesaert , Anne Koch

In this paper, we present a multimodal and dynamical VAE (MDVAE) applied to unsupervised audio-visual speech representation learning. The latent space is structured to dissociate the latent dynamical factors that are shared between the…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Samir Sadok , Simon Leglaive , Laurent Girin , Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Renaud Séguier

Discovering causal structures among latent factors from observed data is a particularly challenging problem. Despite some efforts for this problem, existing methods focus on the single-domain data only. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Yan Zeng , Shohei Shimizu , Ruichu Cai , Feng Xie , Michio Yamamoto , Zhifeng Hao

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic physics-guided framework, termed Physics-guided Deep Markov Model (PgDMM). The framework targets the inference of the characteristics and latent structure of nonlinear dynamical systems from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Wei Liu , Zhilu Lai , Kiran Bacsa , Eleni Chatzi

In modeling multivariate time series, it is important to allow time-varying smoothness in the mean and covariance process. In particular, there may be certain time intervals exhibiting rapid changes and others in which changes are slow. If…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-02 Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa , David B. Dunson

Endowing deep models with the ability to generalize in dynamic scenarios is of vital significance for real-world deployment, given the continuous and complex changes in data distribution. Recently, evolving domain generalization (EDG) has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Zhuo He , Shuang Li , Wenze Song , Longhui Yuan , Jian Liang , Han Li , Kun Gai