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Forecasting conditional stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge repeatedly encountered across the biological and physical sciences. While flow-based models can impressively predict the temporal evolution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Adam P. Generale , Andreas E. Robertson , Surya R. Kalidindi

The identifiability of latent variable models has received increasing attention due to its relevance in interpretability and out-of-distribution generalisation. In this work, we study the identifiability of Switching Dynamical Systems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Carles Balsells-Rodas , Yixin Wang , Yingzhen Li

Learning identifiable representations and models from low-level observations is helpful for an intelligent spacecraft to complete downstream tasks reliably. For temporal observations, to ensure that the data generating process is provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Congxi Zhang , Yongchun Xie

Recent advances in electron, scanning probe, optical, and chemical imaging and spectroscopy yield bespoke data sets containing the information of structure and functionality of complex systems. In many cases, the resulting data sets are…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-15 Yongtao Liu , Bryan D Huey , Maxim A. Ziatdinov , Sergei V. Kalinin

The equations of complex dynamical systems may not be identified by expert knowledge, especially if the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Data-driven discovery methods address this challenge by inferring governing equations from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Amit K. Chakraborty , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

Identifiability, or recovery of the true latent representations from which the observed data originates, is de facto a fundamental goal of representation learning. Yet, most deep generative models do not address the question of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Shen Li , Bryan Hooi , Gim Hee Lee

Time domain identification is studied in this paper for parameters of a continuous-time multi-input multi-output descriptor system, with these parameters affecting system matrices through a linear fractional transformation. Sampling is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Tong Zhou

Extracting a stable and compact representation of the environment is crucial for efficient reinforcement learning in high-dimensional, noisy, and non-stationary environments. Different categories of information coexist in such environments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Yu-Ren Liu , Biwei Huang , Zhengmao Zhu , Honglong Tian , Mingming Gong , Yang Yu , Kun Zhang

Time series causal discovery is essential for understanding dynamic systems, yet many existing methods remain sensitive to noise, non-stationarity, and sampling variability. We propose the Validated Consensus-Driven Framework (VCDF), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Gene Yu , Ce Guo , Wayne Luk

Multiway datasets are commonly analyzed using unsupervised matrix and tensor factorization methods to reveal underlying patterns. Frequently, such datasets include timestamps and could correspond to, for example, health-related measurements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Christos Chatzis , Carla Schenker , Jérémy E. Cohen , Evrim Acar

Learning representations of underlying environmental dynamics from partial observations is a critical challenge in machine learning. In the context of Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), state representations are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Chao Han , Debabrota Basu , Michael Mangan , Eleni Vasilaki , Aditya Gilra

Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) models can generate high-quality samples from a non-informative prior, but they can be slow, often needing hundreds of network evaluations (NFE). To address this, we propose Implicit Dynamical Flow Fusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Mohammad R. Rezaei , Milos R. Popovic , Milad Lankarany , Rahul G. Krishnan

Factor models are widely used to reduce dimensionality in modeling high-dimensional data. However, there remains a need for models that can be reliably fit in modest sample sizes and are identifiable, interpretable, and flexible. To address…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Maoran Xu , Steven Winter , Amy H. Herring , David B. Dunson

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting models have become an integral part of machine learning. While several powerful generative models have been proposed, we provide evidence that their associated inference models are oftentimes too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Chen Qiu , Stephan Mandt , Maja Rudolph

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

Causal inference from longitudinal observational data is a challenging problem due to the difficulty in correctly identifying the time-dependent confounders, especially in the presence of latent time-dependent confounders. Instrumental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Wentao Gao , Thuc Duy Le

Discovering non-linear dynamical models from data is at the core of science. Recent progress hinges upon sparse regression of observables using extensive libraries of candidate functions. However, it remains challenging to model hidden…

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis
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