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Despite impressive accuracy, deep neural networks are often miscalibrated and tend to overly confident predictions. Recent techniques like temperature scaling (TS) and label smoothing (LS) show effectiveness in obtaining a well-calibrated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Mobarakol Islam , Lalithkumar Seenivasan , Hongliang Ren , Ben Glocker

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

Calibration measures quantify how much a forecaster's predictions violates calibration, which requires that forecasts are unbiased conditioning on the forecasted probabilities. Two important desiderata for a calibration measure are its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Mingda Qiao , Eric Zhao

We propose a novel sample selection method for image classification in the presence of noisy labels. Existing methods typically consider small-loss samples as correctly labeled. However, some correctly labeled samples are inherently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Weiran Pan , Wei Wei , Feida Zhu , Yong Deng

Despite the availability of large datasets for tasks like image classification and image-text alignment, labeled data for more complex recognition tasks, such as detection and segmentation, is less abundant. In particular, for instance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 François Porcher , Camille Couprie , Marc Szafraniec , Jakob Verbeek

In machine learning, "ground truth" refers to the assumed correct labels used to train and evaluate models. However, the foundational "ground truth" paradigm rests on a positivistic fallacy that treats human disagreement as technical noise…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Sheza Munir , Benjamin Mah , Krisha Kalsi , Shivani Kapania , Julian Posada , Edith Law , Ding Wang , Syed Ishtiaque Ahmed

There is a family of label modification approaches including self and non-self label correction (LC), and output regularisation. They are widely used for training robust deep neural networks (DNNs), but have not been mathematically and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Xinshao Wang , Yang Hua , Elyor Kodirov , Sankha Subhra Mukherjee , David A. Clifton , Neil M. Robertson

End-to-end neural diarization models have usually relied on a multilabel-classification formulation of the speaker diarization problem. Recently, we proposed a powerset multiclass formulation that has beaten the state-of-the-art on multiple…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Alexis Plaquet , Hervé Bredin

Source-free domain adaptation (SFDA) utilizes a pre-trained source model with unlabeled target data. Self-supervised SFDA techniques generate pseudolabels from the pre-trained source model, but these pseudolabels often contain noise due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Shivangi Rai , Rini Smita Thakur , Kunal Jangid , Vinod K Kurmi

Reliable probabilities are critical in high-risk applications, yet common calibration criteria (confidence, class-wise) are only necessary for full distributional calibration, and post-hoc methods often lack distribution-free guarantees. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-17 Daniil Kazantsev , Mohsen Guizani , Eric Moulines , Maxim Panov , Nikita Kotelevskii

Whenever a binary classifier is used to provide decision support, it typically provides both a label prediction and a confidence value. Then, the decision maker is supposed to use the confidence value to calibrate how much to trust the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Nina L. Corvelo Benz , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

Recent language models have shown remarkable performance on natural language understanding (NLU) tasks. However, they are often sub-optimal when faced with ambiguous samples that can be interpreted in multiple ways, over-confidently…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Hancheol Park , Soyeong Jeong , Sukmin Cho , Jong C. Park

Accurately predicting the probabilities of user feedback, such as clicks and conversions, is critical for advertisement ranking and bidding. However, there often exist unwanted mismatches between predicted probabilities and true likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Yuang Zhao , Chuhan Wu , Qinglin Jia , Hong Zhu , Jia Yan , Libin Zong , Linxuan Zhang , Zhenhua Dong , Muyu Zhang

Labeling visual data is expensive and time-consuming. Crowdsourcing systems promise to enable highly parallelizable annotations through the participation of monetarily or otherwise motivated workers, but even this approach has its limits.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Christopher Klugmann , Rafid Mahmood , Guruprasad Hegde , Amit Kale , Daniel Kondermann

Confidence calibration for classification models is vital in safety-critical decision-making scenarios and has received extensive attention. General confidence calibration methods assume training and test data are independent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jinzong Dong , Zhaohui Jiang , Bo Yang

Machine learning models are typically deployed in a test setting that differs from the training setting, potentially leading to decreased model performance because of domain shift. If we could estimate the performance that a pre-trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Zeju Li , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mobarakol Islam , Chen Chen , Ben Glocker

We address the problem of network calibration adjusting miscalibrated confidences of deep neural networks. Many approaches to network calibration adopt a regularization-based method that exploits a regularization term to smooth the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Hyekang Park , Jongyoun Noh , Youngmin Oh , Donghyeon Baek , Bumsub Ham

For semantic segmentation, label probabilities are often uncalibrated as they are typically only the by-product of a segmentation task. Intersection over Union (IoU) and Dice score are often used as criteria for segmentation success, while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Zhipeng Ding , Xu Han , Peirong Liu , Marc Niethammer

With the rapid advancement in the performance of deep neural networks (DNNs), there has been significant interest in deploying and incorporating artificial intelligence (AI) systems into real-world scenarios. However, many DNNs lack the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Mijoo Kim , Junseok Kwon

Reasoning language models can solve increasingly complex tasks, but struggle to produce the calibrated confidence estimates necessary for reliable deployment. Existing calibration methods usually depend on labels or repeated sampling at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Thomas Zollo , Jimmy Wang , Richard Zemel