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Dynamic discrete choice models often discretize the state vector and restrict its dimension in order to achieve valid inference. I propose a novel two-stage estimator for the set-identified structural parameter that incorporates a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-07 Vira Semenova

Two semimetrics on probability distributions are proposed, given as the sum of differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial or frequency locations (i.e, features). The features are chosen so as to maximize the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Kacper Chwialkowski , Arthur Gretton

Model-based reinforcement learning is attractive for sequential decision-making because it explicitly estimates reward and transition models and then supports planning through simulated rollouts. In offline settings with hidden confounding,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Nishanth Venkatesh , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

This paper proposes a probabilistic contrastive loss function for self-supervised learning. The well-known contrastive loss is deterministic and involves a temperature hyperparameter that scales the inner product between two normed feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Shen Li , Jianqing Xu , Bryan Hooi

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

The utility of an explanation method critically depends on its fidelity to the underlying machine learning model. Especially in high-stakes medical settings, clinicians and regulators require explanations that faithfully reflect the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Kevin Iselborn , David Dembinsky , Adriano Lucieri , Andreas Dengel

This article develops the theoretical framework needed to study the multinomial logistic regression model for complex sample design with pseudo minimum phi-divergence estimators. Through a numerical example and simulation study new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-06 Elena Castilla , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

In the present paper we consider the problem of estimating the multidimensional power spectral density which describes a second-order stationary random field from a finite number of covariance and generalized cepstral coefficients. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Bin Zhu , Mattia Zorzi

Unlike machines, humans learn through rapid, abstract model-building. The role of a teacher is not simply to hammer home right or wrong answers, but rather to provide intuitive comments, comparisons, and explanations to a pupil. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-30 John Lambert , Ozan Sener , Silvio Savarese

In many practical parameter estimation problems, such as coefficient estimation of polynomial regression, the true model is unknown and thus, a model selection step is performed prior to estimation. The data-based model selection step…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-30 Elad Meir , Tirza Routtenberg

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

In this paper, we show that the adaptive multidimensional increment ratio estimator of the long range memory parameter defined in Bardet and Dola (2012) satisfies a central limit theorem (CLT in the sequel) for a large semiparametric class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Jean-Marc Bardet , Béchir Dola

Predictive models are often required to produce reliable predictions under statistical conditions that are not matched to the training data. A common type of training-testing mismatch is covariate shift, where the conditional distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Matteo Zecchin , Fredrik Hellström , Sangwoo Park , Shlomo Shamai , Osvaldo Simeone

Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Gabriel Okasa

This paper provides a statistical analysis of high-dimensional batch Reinforcement Learning (RL) using sparse linear function approximation. When there is a large number of candidate features, our result sheds light on the fact that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Botao Hao , Yaqi Duan , Tor Lattimore , Csaba Szepesvári , Mengdi Wang

We introduce a methodology for robust Bayesian estimation with robust divergence (e.g., density power divergence or {\gamma}-divergence), indexed by a single tuning parameter. It is well known that the posterior density induced by robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Shouto Yonekura , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Reinforcement learning algorithms typically rely on the assumption that the environment dynamics and value function can be expressed in terms of a Markovian state representation. However, when state information is only partially observable,…

Randomized artificial neural networks such as extreme learning machines provide an attractive and efficient method for supervised learning under limited computing ressources and green machine learning. This especially applies when equipping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-02 Ansgar Steland , Bart E. Pieters

Target parameter estimation performance is investigated for a radar employing a set of widely separated transmitting and receiving antenna arrays. Cases with multiple extended targets are considered under two signal model assumptions:…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Peter Khomchuk , Igal Bilik , Rick S. Blum

Self-paced learning and hard example mining re-weight training instances to improve learning accuracy. This paper presents two improved alternatives based on lightweight estimates of sample uncertainty in stochastic gradient descent (SGD):…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-09 Haw-Shiuan Chang , Erik Learned-Miller , Andrew McCallum