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Molecular dynamics simulations allow to study the structure and dynamics of single biomolecules in microscopic detail. However, many processes occur on time scales beyond the reach of fully atomistic simulations and require coarse-grained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Fabian Knoch , Thomas Speck

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

We consider estimating the parameters of a Gaussian mixture density with a given number of components best representing a given set of weighted samples. We adopt a density interpretation of the samples by viewing them as a discrete Dirac…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Many state of the art methods for the thermodynamic and kinetic characterization of large and complex biomolecular systems by simulation rely on ensemble approaches, where data from large numbers of relatively short trajectories are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-05 Feliks Nüske , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Christoph Wehmeyer , Cecilia Clementi , Frank Noé

Markov state models (MSMs)---or discrete-time master equation models---are a powerful way of modeling the structure and function of molecular systems like proteins. Unfortunately, MSMs with sufficiently many states to make a quantitative…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Gregory R. Bowman

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Machine learning models often have uneven performance among subpopulations (a.k.a., groups) in the data distributions. This poses a significant challenge for the models to generalize when the proportions of the groups shift during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Rui Qiao , Zhaoxuan Wu , Jingtan Wang , Pang Wei Koh , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

A simple reweighting scheme is proposed for Monte Carlo simulations of interacting particle systems, permitting one to study various parameter values in a single study, and improving efficiency by an order of magnitude. Unlike earlier…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ronald Dickman

A method is proposed to identify target states that optimize a metastability index amongst a set of trial states and use these target states as milestones (or core sets) to build Markov State Models (MSMs). If the optimized metastability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-03 Enrico Guarnera , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

The weighted ensemble (WE) simulation strategy provides unbiased sampling of non-equilibrium processes, such as molecular folding or binding, but the extraction of rate constants relies on characterizing steady state behavior.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-02 Jeremy Copperman , Daniel Zuckerman

A data set sampled from a certain population is biased if the subgroups of the population are sampled at proportions that are significantly different from their underlying proportions. Training machine learning models on biased data sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Jing An , Lexing Ying , Yuhua Zhu

There is a great need for improved statistical sampling in a range of physical, chemical and biological systems. Even simulations based on correct algorithms suffer from statistical error, which can be substantial or even dominant when slow…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-11-09 F. Marty Ytreberg , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Markov state models (MSMs) have been broadly adopted for analyzing molecular dynamics trajectories, but the approximate nature of the models that results from coarse-graining into discrete states is a long-known limitation. We show…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-31 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , David Aristoff , Gideon Simpson , Daniel M. Zuckerman

The widespread popularity of replica exchange and expanded ensemble algorithms for simulating complex molecular systems in chemistry and biophysics has generated much interest in enhancing phase space mixing of these protocols, thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-06 John D. Chodera , Michael R. Shirts

We present a generic reweighting method for nonequilibrium Markov processes. With nonequilibrium Monte Carlo simulations at a single temperature, one calculates the time evolution of physical quantities at different temperatures, which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Hwee Kuan Lee , Yutaka Okabe

Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

Many biological systems can be described by finite Markov models. A general method for simplifying master equations is presented that is based on merging adjacent states. The approach preserves the steady-state probability distribution and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-03-01 David Seiferth , Peter Sollich , Stefan Klumpp

The standard version of the policy iteration (PI) algorithm fails for semicontinuous models, that is, for models with lower semicontinuous one-step costs and weakly continuous transition law. This is due to the lack of continuity properties…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Óscar Vega-Amaya , Fernando Luque-Vásquez

Markov state models (MSMs) are valuable for studying dynamics of protein conformational changes via statistical analysis of molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. In MSMs, the complex configuration space is coarse-grained into conformational…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Dedi Wang , Yunrui Qiu , Eric Beyerle , Xuhui Huang , Pratyush Tiwary