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Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to skillfully predict tropical precipitation occurrence and amount, calling for alternative approaches. For instance, it has been shown that fairly simple, purely data-driven logistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-09 Eva-Maria Walz , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink , Gregor Köhler , Tilmann Gneiting

Precipitation nowcasting, critical for flood emergency and river management, has remained challenging for decades, although recent developments in deep generative modeling (DGM) suggest the possibility of improvements. River management…

Radar-based convective precipitation nowcasting suffers from rapid performance degradation beyond 30 minutes due to missing thermodynamic variables. Existing deep learning models also face blurring effects, training instability, and limited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Dandan Chen , Yaqiang Wang , Anyuan Xiong , Enda Zhu

The goal of precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period of time. Very few previous studies have examined this crucial and challenging weather forecasting problem from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Xingjian Shi , Zhourong Chen , Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Wai-kin Wong , Wang-chun Woo

Earth Observatory is a growing research area that can capitalize on the powers of AI for short time forecasting, a Now-casting scenario. In this work, we tackle the challenge of weather forecasting using a video transformer network. Vision…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Alabi Bojesomo , Hasan Al Marzouqi , Panos Liatsis

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

Predicting precipitation maps is a highly complex spatiotemporal modeling task, critical for mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. Short-term precipitation forecasting, or nowcasting, requires models that are not only accurate…

Weather forecasting is a long standing scientific challenge with direct social and economic impact. The task is suitable for deep neural networks due to vast amounts of continuously collected data and a rich spatial and temporal structure…

High-resolution nowcasting is an essential tool needed for effective adaptation to climate change, particularly for extreme weather. As Deep Learning (DL) techniques have shown dramatic promise in many domains, including the geosciences, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Shreya Agrawal , Luke Barrington , Carla Bromberg , John Burge , Cenk Gazen , Jason Hickey

Precipitation nowcasting using neural networks and ground-based radars has become one of the key components of modern weather prediction services, but it is limited to the regions covered by ground-based radars. Truly global precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Vladimir Ivashkin , Vadim Lebedev

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), is widely used in precipitation forecasting, based on complex equations of atmospheric motion requires supercomputers to infer the state of the atmosphere. Due to the complexity of the task and the huge…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-10 Xinyu Xiao , Qiuming Kuang , Shiming Xiang , Junnan Hu , Chunhong Pan

Accurate precipitation nowcasting is crucial for applications such as flood prediction, disaster management, agriculture optimization, and transportation management. While many studies have approached this task using sequence-to-sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Lorand Vatamany , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Siddharth Samsi , Christopher J. Mattioli , Mark S. Veillette

Not only can discovering patterns and insights from atmospheric data enable more accurate weather predictions, but it may also provide valuable information to help tackle climate change. Weather4cast is an open competition that aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Pak Hay Kwok , Qi Qi

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

A computationally inexpensive, analytically simple, and remarkably efficient rain attenuation prediction algorithm is presented in this paper. The algorithm, here referred to as the Quasi-Moment-Method, has only two main requirements for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-16 Adeniyi Adekola , Ayotunde Ayorinde , Hisham Muhammed , Francis Okewole , Ike Mowete

Short-range prediction of convective precipitation from weather radar observations is essential for severe weather warnings. However, deep learning models trained with pixel-wise error metrics tend to produce overly smooth forecasts that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Haofei Cui , Guangxin He , Juanzhen Sun , Jingjia Luo , Haonan Chen , Xiaoran Zhuang , Mingxuan Chen , Xian Xiao