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We analyze a problem of revealed preference given state-dependent stochastic choice data in which the payoff to a decision maker (DM) only depends on their beliefs about posterior means. Often, the DM must also learn about or pay attention…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-06 Jeffrey Mensch , Komal Malik

I consider an environment in which a decision maker faces uncertainty and privately holds information in the form of a signal about the true state of the world. The decision maker purchases additional information from a data broker before…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-02 Arlindo Skënderaj

This paper investigates third-degree price discrimination under endogenous market segmentation. Segmenting a market requires access to information about consumers, and this information comes with a cost. I explore the trade-offs between the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-11 Irfan Tekdir

Financial markets exhibit an apparent paradox: while directional price movements remain largely unpredictable--consistent with weak-form efficiency--the magnitude of price changes displays systematic structure. Here we demonstrate that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Mainak Singha

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

This paper studies the equilibrium price of an asset that is traded in continuous time between N agents who have heterogeneous beliefs about the state process underlying the asset's payoff. We propose a tractable model where agents maximize…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz , Xiaowei Tan

At the ultra high frequency level, the notion of price of an asset is very ambiguous. Indeed, many different prices can be defined (last traded price, best bid price, mid price,...). Thus, in practice, market participants face the problem…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-15 Sylvain Delattre , Christian Y. Robert , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In the adaptive information gathering problem, a policy is required to select an informative sensing location using the history of measurements acquired thus far. While there is an extensive amount of prior work investigating effective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Sanjiban Choudhury , Ashish Kapoor , Gireeja Ranade , Sebastian Scherer , Debadeepta Dey

We modify the standard model of price competition with horizontally differentiated products, imperfect information, and search frictions by allowing consumers to flexibly acquire information about a product's match value during their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-28 Vasudha Jain , Mark Whitmeyer

A principal who values an object allocates it to one or more agents. Agents learn private information (signals) from an information designer about the allocation payoff to the principal. Monetary transfer is not available but the principal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-31 Yi-Chun Chen , Gaoji Hu , Xiangqian Yang

We study optimal liquidation in the presence of linear temporary and transient price impact along with taking into account a general price predicting finite-variation signal. We formulate this problem as minimization of a cost-risk…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Eyal Neuman , Moritz Voß

We introduce a new cost function over experiments, f-information, based on the theory of multivariate statistical divergences, that generalizes Sims's classic model of rational inattention as well as the class of posterior-separable cost…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-07 Alex Bloedel , Tommaso Denti , Luciano Pomatto

We develop a Bayesian model for decision-making under time pressure with endogenous information acquisition. In our model, the decision maker decides when to observe (costly) information by sampling an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

We consider the multi-period portfolio optimization problem with a single asset that can be held long or short. Due to the presence of transaction costs, maximizing the immediate reward at each period may prove detrimental, as frequent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Chutian Ma , Paul Smith

We study the problem of learning the optimal item pricing for a unit-demand buyer with independent item values, and the learner has query access to the buyer's value distributions. We consider two common query models in the literature: the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Yifeng Teng , Yifan Wang

The principle of minimum Fisher information states that in the set of acceptable probability distributions characterizing the given system, it is best done by the one that minimizes the corresponding Fisher information. This principle can…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-24 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski , Piotr Frąckiewicz , Marek Szopa

Decision-making pipelines are generally characterized by tradeoffs among various risk functions. It is often desirable to manage such tradeoffs in a data-adaptive manner. As we demonstrate, if this is done naively, state-of-the art…

In this paper, we study learning and knowledge acquisition (LKA) of an agent about a proposition that is either true or false. We use a Bayesian approach, where the agent receives data to update his beliefs about the proposition according…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , H. Renata Gallegos , Ola Hössjer , J. Sunil Rao

The emergent behavior of a distributed system is conditioned by the information available to the local decision-makers. Therefore, one may expect that providing decision-makers with more information will improve system performance; in this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Bryce L. Ferguson , Dario Paccagnan , Jason R. Marden

The price of a stock will rarely follow the assumed model and a curious investor or a Regulatory Authority may wish to obtain a probability model the prices support. A risk neutral probability ${\cal P}^*$ for the stock's price at time $T$…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Yannis G. Yatracos