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Automated sensing instruments on satellites and aircraft have enabled the collection of massive amounts of high-resolution observations of spatial fields over large spatial regions. If these datasets can be efficiently exploited, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-08 Matthias Katzfuss

Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Haoyu Wang , Yawen Guan , Brian J Reich

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-11 Mark D. Risser

This paper presents a kriging method for spatial prediction of temporal intensity functions, for situations where a temporal point process is observed at different spatial locations. Assuming that several replications of the processes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Daniel Gervini

Multivariate measurements taken at irregularly sampled locations are a common form of data, for example in geochemical analysis of soil. In practical considerations predictions of these measurements at unobserved locations are of great…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-12 Christoph Muehlmann , Klaus Nordhausen , Mengxi Yi

Surrogate models are extensively employed for forward and inverse uncertainty quantification in complex, computation-intensive engineering problems. Nonetheless, constructing high-accuracy surrogate models for complex dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Zhouzhou Song , Weiyun Xu , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Matthias G. R. Faes

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

For many survey-based spatial modelling problems, responses are observed as spatially aggregated over survey regions due to limited resources. Covariates, from weather models and satellite imageries, can be observed at many different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Harrison Zhu , Adam Howes , Owen van Eer , Maxime Rischard , Yingzhen Li , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We propose three spatial methods for estimating the full probability distribution of PM10 concentrations, with the ultimate goal of assessing air quality in Northern Italy. Moving beyond spatial averages and simple indicators, we adopt a…

The spatial random-effects model is flexible in modeling spatial covariance functions, and is computationally efficient for spatial prediction via fixed rank kriging. However, the success of this model depends on an appropriate set of basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 ShengLi Tzeng , Hsin-Cheng Huang

Given coarser-resolution projections from global climate models or satellite data, the downscaling problem aims to estimate finer-resolution regional climate data, capturing fine-scale spatial patterns and variability. Downscaling is any…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-28 Subhankar Ghosh , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Aneesh Subramanian , Shashi Shekhar

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

We propose a multi-fidelity Bayesian emulator for the analysis of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model when the available simulations are not generated based on hierarchically nested experimental design. The proposed procedure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-18 Bledar A. Konomi , Georgios Karagiannis

This paper presents a surrogate modelling technique based on domain partitioning for Bayesian parameter inference of highly nonlinear engineering models. In order to alleviate the computational burden typically involved in Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-06 J. C. García-Merino , C. Calvo-Jurado , E. Martínez-Pañeda , E. García-Macías

Machine learning and geostatistics are two fundamentally different frameworks for predicting and spatially mapping soil properties. Geostatistics leverages the spatial structure of soil properties, while machine learning captures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jonas Schmidinger , Viacheslav Barkov , Sebastian Vogel , Martin Atzmueller , Gerard B M Heuvelink

Kriging is a fundamental tool for spatial prediction, but its computational complexity of $O(N^3)$ becomes prohibitive for large datasets. While local kriging using $K$-nearest neighbors addresses this issue, the selection of $K$ typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Jonathan Acosta

Many scientific applications involve mixed spatially indexed outcomes of heterogeneous types that are driven by shared latent mechanisms. Modeling such data is challenging due to complex, nonlinear, and potentially nonstationary spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yeseul Jeon , Kyeong Eun Lee , Joon Jin Song

In this article, we review and compare a number of methods of spatial prediction. To demonstrate the breadth of available choices, we consider both traditional and more-recently-introduced spatial predictors. Specifically, in our exposition…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Jonathan R. Bradley , Noel Cressie , Tao Shi

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Recent technical advances in collecting spatial data have been increasing the demand for methods to analyze large spatial datasets. The statistical analysis for these types of datasets can provide useful knowledge in various fields.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-16 Toshihiro Hirano